BASECAT
Basecat · Base · gru_s2
- token id
- #592
- symbol
- BASECAT
- variant
- –
- chain
- Base
- address
- 0xb2000000000000000000004c27f6523082f41d01
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-08-24
- predictions
- 150
Track record at +1d
assessed
49
of 50 predictions shown
direction hit
61.2%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.1071
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0092
actual -0.0185
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.012065 | 0.011987 | -0.64% | – | pending | – | – | 2.76 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.01172 | 0.011658 | -0.53% | 0.012065 | +2.94% | 0.0424 | ✗ | 2.77 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.012275 | 0.012161 | -0.93% | 0.01172 | -4.52% | 0.0746 | ✓ | 2.81 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.01293 | 0.012772 | -1.22% | 0.012275 | -5.07% | 0.0339 | ✓ | 2.81 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.012765 | 0.012638 | -1.00% | 0.01293 | +1.29% | 0.0014 | ✓ | 2.81 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.012975 | 0.012855 | -0.93% | 0.012765 | -1.62% | 0.0029 | ✓ | 2.81 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.0129 | 0.012796 | -0.80% | 0.012975 | +0.58% | 0.0354 | ✗ | 2.83 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.012605 | 0.012535 | -0.56% | 0.0129 | +2.34% | 0.0095 | ✗ | 2.82 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.013565 | 0.013425 | -1.03% | 0.012605 | -7.08% | 0.0105 | ✓ | 2.82 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.013175 | 0.013042 | -1.01% | 0.013565 | +2.96% | 0.0071 | ✓ | 2.82 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.01678 | 0.016182 | -3.56% | 0.013175 | -21.48% | 0.1450 | ✓ | 2.59 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.01299 | 0.012762 | -1.75% | 0.01678 | +29.18% | 0.2509 | ✗ | 2.47 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.011325 | 0.011253 | -0.63% | 0.01299 | +14.70% | 0.1327 | ✗ | 2.44 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.01146 | 0.011384 | -0.66% | 0.011325 | -1.18% | 0.0307 | ✓ | 2.45 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.01295 | 0.01262 | -2.55% | 0.01146 | -11.51% | 0.0506 | ✓ | 2.39 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.01176 | 0.011472 | -2.45% | 0.01295 | +10.12% | 0.1940 | ✗ | 2.71 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.0129 | 0.012475 | -3.30% | 0.01176 | -8.84% | 0.0524 | ✓ | 2.70 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.01304 | 0.012619 | -3.23% | 0.0129 | -1.07% | 0.0460 | ✗ | 2.72 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.013365 | 0.012943 | -3.16% | 0.01304 | -2.43% | 0.0501 | ✓ | 2.79 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.01108 | 0.010967 | -1.02% | 0.013365 | +20.62% | 0.1899 | ✗ | 2.78 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.0119 | 0.011803 | -0.81% | 0.01108 | -6.89% | 0.0520 | ✓ | 2.76 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.012285 | 0.012242 | -0.35% | 0.0119 | -3.13% | 0.0714 | ✓ | 2.81 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.013715 | 0.013675 | -0.30% | 0.012285 | -10.43% | 0.1044 | ✓ | 2.79 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.014675 | 0.01462 | -0.37% | 0.013715 | -6.54% | 0.0700 | ✓ | 2.80 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.01592 | 0.015814 | -0.67% | 0.014675 | -7.82% | 0.0416 | ✓ | 2.77 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.016155 | 0.016025 | -0.80% | 0.01592 | -1.45% | 0.0081 | ✓ | 2.77 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.01685 | 0.016672 | -1.06% | 0.016155 | -4.12% | 0.0421 | ✓ | 2.78 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.01852 | 0.018232 | -1.55% | 0.01685 | -9.02% | 0.0693 | ✓ | 2.75 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.01875 | 0.018386 | -1.94% | 0.01852 | -1.23% | 0.0070 | ✓ | 2.75 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.0173 | 0.016916 | -2.22% | 0.01875 | +8.38% | 0.1243 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.019505 | 0.018985 | -2.67% | 0.0173 | -11.30% | 0.0883 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.01746 | 0.01715 | -1.78% | 0.019505 | +11.71% | 0.0639 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.018945 | 0.018604 | -1.80% | 0.01746 | -7.84% | 0.0625 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.02233 | 0.021971 | -1.61% | 0.018945 | -15.16% | 0.1526 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.01693 | 0.017008 | +0.46% | 0.02233 | +31.90% | 0.2146 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.016355 | 0.016515 | +0.98% | 0.01693 | +3.52% | 0.0222 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.020295 | 0.020453 | +0.78% | 0.016355 | -19.41% | 0.2310 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.02134 | 0.021468 | +0.60% | 0.020295 | -4.90% | 0.0225 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.021645 | 0.021874 | +1.06% | 0.02134 | -1.41% | 0.0425 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.022805 | 0.023122 | +1.39% | 0.021645 | -5.09% | 0.0600 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.02132 | 0.021757 | +2.05% | 0.022805 | +6.97% | 0.0463 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.031655 | 0.032094 | +1.39% | 0.02132 | -32.65% | 0.4178 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.03201 | 0.032542 | +1.66% | 0.031655 | -1.11% | 0.0051 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.039 | 0.039286 | +0.73% | 0.03201 | -17.92% | 0.2027 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.042955 | 0.042873 | -0.19% | 0.039 | -9.21% | 0.0865 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.0556 | 0.05517 | -0.77% | 0.042955 | -22.74% | 0.2346 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.07782 | 0.076601 | -1.57% | 0.0556 | -28.55% | 0.3268 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.057 | 0.055981 | -1.79% | 0.07782 | +36.53% | 0.3274 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.0465 | 0.045565 | -2.01% | 0.057 | +22.58% | 0.2437 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.02865 | 0.02833 | -1.12% | 0.0465 | +62.30% | 0.4456 | ✗ | 1.00 |