FATCOIN

FATCOIN · Robinhood · gru_s1

token id: #811
symbol: FATCOIN
variant: –
chain: Robinhood
address: 0x12d5ee7917ca430073c3a638ee1e6f0648a98a01
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-09-04
predictions: 117

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

of 39 predictions shown

direction hit

76.3%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1397

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0063

actual -0.0388

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.0003623	0.000358876	-0.95%	–	pending	–	–	0.43
2026-10-20	oos	0.0003674	0.000363057	-1.18%	0.0003623	-1.39%	0.0008	✓	0.45
2026-10-19	oos	0.0003527	0.00035039	-0.66%	0.0003674	+4.17%	0.0430	✗	0.33
2026-10-18	oos	0.0004097	0.000404894	-1.17%	0.0003527	-13.91%	0.1373	✓	0.32
2026-10-17	oos	0.00043515	0.000427433	-1.77%	0.0004097	-5.85%	0.0447	✓	0.31
2026-10-16	oos	0.000357	0.000355712	-0.36%	0.00043515	+21.89%	0.2021	✗	0.35
2026-10-15	oos	0.00038465	0.000382452	-0.57%	0.000357	-7.19%	0.0661	✓	0.37
2026-10-14	oos	0.00040915	0.000405713	-0.84%	0.00038465	-5.99%	0.0557	✓	0.35
2026-10-13	oos	0.0003266	0.000326663	+0.02%	0.00040915	+25.28%	0.2408	✓	0.84
2026-10-12	oos	0.00035135	0.000351525	+0.05%	0.0003266	-7.04%	0.0869	✗	0.81
2026-10-11	oos	0.000385	0.00038399	-0.26%	0.00035135	-8.74%	0.0680	✓	0.89
2026-10-10	oos	0.00037315	0.000373216	+0.02%	0.000385	+3.18%	0.0237	✓	0.80
2026-10-09	oos	0.00040435	0.000404007	-0.08%	0.00037315	-7.72%	0.0830	✓	0.79
2026-10-08	oos	0.00036805	0.000369281	+0.33%	0.00040435	+9.86%	0.0842	✓	0.63
2026-10-07	oos	0.000506	0.000502553	-0.68%	0.00036805	-27.26%	0.3052	✓	0.33
2026-10-06	oos	0.00038745	0.000388021	+0.15%	0.000506	+30.60%	0.3016	✓	1.35
2026-10-05	oos	0.00035605	0.000357562	+0.42%	0.00038745	+8.82%	0.0838	✓	1.44
2026-10-04	oos	0.0004861	0.000485494	-0.12%	0.00035605	-26.75%	0.2988	✓	1.28
2026-10-03	oos	0.00051235	0.000512218	-0.03%	0.0004861	-5.12%	0.0730	✓	1.00
2026-10-02	oos	0.00051375	0.000514283	+0.10%	0.00051235	-0.27%	0.0066	✗	1.00
2026-10-01	oos	0.00054035	0.000540883	+0.10%	0.00051375	-4.92%	0.0474	✗	1.00
2026-09-30	oos	0.0006234	0.000622796	-0.10%	0.00054035	-13.32%	0.1574	✓	1.00
2026-09-29	oos	0.00059005	0.00059122	+0.20%	0.0006234	+5.65%	0.0540	✓	1.00
2026-09-28	oos	0.00074535	0.00074331	-0.27%	0.00059005	-20.84%	0.2331	✓	1.00
2026-09-27	oos	0.0008163	0.000812109	-0.51%	0.00074535	-8.69%	0.0738	✓	1.00
2026-09-26	oos	0.00094305	0.000934544	-0.90%	0.0008163	-13.44%	0.1358	✓	1.00
2026-09-25	oos	0.001029	0.001017	-1.16%	0.00094305	-8.38%	0.0797	✓	1.00
2026-09-24	oos	0.0009778	0.000969913	-0.81%	0.001029	+5.26%	0.0628	✗	1.00
2026-09-23	oos	0.001144	0.001131	-1.19%	0.0009778	-14.57%	0.1455	✓	1.00
2026-09-22	oos	0.001388	0.001357	-2.28%	0.001144	-17.57%	0.1489	✓	1.00
2026-09-21	oos	0.001228	0.001209	-1.57%	0.001388	+13.06%	0.1431	✗	1.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.001401	0.001384	-1.26%	0.001228	-12.36%	0.1841	✓	1.00
2026-09-19	oos	0.00174	0.001702	-2.20%	0.001401	-19.48%	0.1936	✓	1.00
2026-09-18	oos	0.001629	0.001598	-1.87%	0.00174	+6.85%	0.0807	✗	1.00
2026-09-17	oos	0.001716	0.001673	-2.50%	0.001629	-5.07%	0.0843	✓	1.00
2026-09-16	oos	0.000835	0.000835349	+0.04%	0.001716	+105.50%	0.7172	✓	1.00
2026-09-15	oos	0.001151	0.001151	+0.01%	0.000835	-27.42%	0.3280	✗	1.00
2026-09-14	oos	0.00143	0.001426	-0.32%	0.001151	-19.57%	0.1809	✓	1.00
2026-09-13	oos	0.001492	0.001485	-0.47%	0.00143	-4.12%	0.0551	✓	1.00