BATON
baton · Solana · gru_s1
- token id
- #670
- symbol
- BATON
- variant
- –
- chain
- Solana
- address
- Hg5Ja55T5wESq4vyFoiVCMeHXtGyVA69X2UHq8hgpump
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-09-13
- predictions
- 90
Track record at +1d
assessed
29
of 30 predictions shown
direction hit
48.3%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.2725
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0274
actual +0.0485
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.00772 | 0.007612 | -1.40% | – | pending | – | – | 3.81 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.00768 | 0.007557 | -1.60% | 0.00772 | +0.52% | 0.0325 | ✗ | 3.81 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.007125 | 0.007023 | -1.44% | 0.00768 | +7.79% | 0.0389 | ✗ | 3.79 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.00669 | 0.006611 | -1.18% | 0.007125 | +6.50% | 0.0827 | ✗ | 3.81 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.00824 | 0.008125 | -1.40% | 0.00669 | -18.81% | 0.2243 | ✓ | 3.92 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.009189 | 0.009052 | -1.49% | 0.00824 | -10.33% | 0.0883 | ✓ | 3.89 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.011797 | 0.011403 | -3.34% | 0.009189 | -22.11% | 0.1874 | ✓ | 3.72 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.008406 | 0.008293 | -1.35% | 0.011797 | +40.34% | 0.3279 | ✗ | 3.61 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.012632 | 0.012351 | -2.22% | 0.008406 | -33.45% | 0.3283 | ✓ | 3.03 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.012615 | 0.012357 | -2.05% | 0.012632 | +0.13% | 0.0054 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.016412 | 0.01571 | -4.28% | 0.012615 | -23.13% | 0.1960 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.012334 | 0.011968 | -2.98% | 0.016412 | +33.06% | 0.3066 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.012115 | 0.011783 | -2.75% | 0.012334 | +1.81% | 0.0413 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.014529 | 0.013708 | -5.65% | 0.012115 | -16.61% | 0.1338 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.008748 | 0.008503 | -2.81% | 0.014529 | +66.08% | 0.5550 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.009494 | 0.009097 | -4.18% | 0.008748 | -7.86% | 0.0123 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.008108 | 0.007897 | -2.61% | 0.009494 | +17.09% | 0.1867 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.01241 | 0.011552 | -6.91% | 0.008108 | -34.66% | 0.3452 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.003733 | 0.003616 | -3.12% | 0.01241 | +232.50% | 1.2126 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.0029 | 0.002853 | -1.62% | 0.003733 | +28.71% | 0.2659 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.004281 | 0.004081 | -4.67% | 0.0029 | -32.26% | 0.3376 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.00275 | 0.002706 | -1.62% | 0.004281 | +55.67% | 0.4435 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.004067 | 0.003909 | -3.90% | 0.00275 | -32.39% | 0.3506 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.003193 | 0.003092 | -3.16% | 0.004067 | +27.39% | 0.2720 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.002944 | 0.002811 | -4.52% | 0.003193 | +8.46% | 0.1395 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.001742 | 0.001718 | -1.40% | 0.002944 | +69.00% | 0.5383 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.002018 | 0.00195 | -3.37% | 0.001742 | -13.66% | 0.1164 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.001114 | 0.001108 | -0.56% | 0.002018 | +81.10% | 0.6029 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.001269 | 0.001262 | -0.58% | 0.001114 | -12.21% | 0.1246 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.001973 | 0.001948 | -1.27% | 0.001269 | -35.68% | 0.4072 | ✓ | 1.00 |