FATCOIN

FATCOIN · Robinhood · gru_s0

token id: #811
symbol: FATCOIN
variant: –
chain: Robinhood
address: 0x12d5ee7917ca430073c3a638ee1e6f0648a98a01
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-09-04
predictions: 117

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

of 39 predictions shown

direction hit

68.4%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1349

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0317

actual -0.0388

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.0003623	0.000354741	-2.09%	–	pending	–	–	0.43
2026-10-20	oos	0.0003674	0.000359496	-2.15%	0.0003623	-1.39%	0.0091	✓	0.45
2026-10-19	oos	0.0003527	0.000347002	-1.62%	0.0003674	+4.17%	0.0527	✗	0.33
2026-10-18	oos	0.0004097	0.000401378	-2.03%	0.0003527	-13.91%	0.1286	✓	0.32
2026-10-17	oos	0.00043515	0.000423076	-2.77%	0.0004097	-5.85%	0.0345	✓	0.31
2026-10-16	oos	0.000357	0.000353288	-1.04%	0.00043515	+21.89%	0.2089	✗	0.35
2026-10-15	oos	0.00038465	0.000380007	-1.21%	0.000357	-7.19%	0.0597	✓	0.37
2026-10-14	oos	0.00040915	0.000403299	-1.43%	0.00038465	-5.99%	0.0497	✓	0.35
2026-10-13	oos	0.0003266	0.000324987	-0.49%	0.00040915	+25.28%	0.2460	✗	0.84
2026-10-12	oos	0.00035135	0.000350216	-0.32%	0.0003266	-7.04%	0.0831	✓	0.81
2026-10-11	oos	0.000385	0.000382066	-0.76%	0.00035135	-8.74%	0.0630	✓	0.89
2026-10-10	oos	0.00037315	0.000371429	-0.46%	0.000385	+3.18%	0.0285	✗	0.80
2026-10-09	oos	0.00040435	0.000402161	-0.54%	0.00037315	-7.72%	0.0784	✓	0.79
2026-10-08	oos	0.00036805	0.000367148	-0.25%	0.00040435	+9.86%	0.0900	✗	0.63
2026-10-07	oos	0.000506	0.000499178	-1.35%	0.00036805	-27.26%	0.2985	✓	0.33
2026-10-06	oos	0.00038745	0.000381199	-1.61%	0.000506	+30.60%	0.3194	✗	1.35
2026-10-05	oos	0.00035605	0.000343955	-3.40%	0.00038745	+8.82%	0.1226	✗	1.44
2026-10-04	oos	0.0004861	0.00047852	-1.56%	0.00035605	-26.75%	0.2843	✓	1.28
2026-10-03	oos	0.00051235	0.000505494	-1.34%	0.0004861	-5.12%	0.0597	✓	1.00
2026-10-02	oos	0.00051375	0.000504878	-1.73%	0.00051235	-0.27%	0.0119	✓	1.00
2026-10-01	oos	0.00054035	0.000528422	-2.21%	0.00051375	-4.92%	0.0241	✓	1.00
2026-09-30	oos	0.0006234	0.000613786	-1.54%	0.00054035	-13.32%	0.1428	✓	1.00
2026-09-29	oos	0.00059005	0.000573364	-2.83%	0.0006234	+5.65%	0.0847	✗	1.00
2026-09-28	oos	0.00074535	0.000733099	-1.64%	0.00059005	-20.84%	0.2192	✓	1.00
2026-09-27	oos	0.0008163	0.000800059	-1.99%	0.00074535	-8.69%	0.0589	✓	1.00
2026-09-26	oos	0.00094305	0.000923332	-2.09%	0.0008163	-13.44%	0.1237	✓	1.00
2026-09-25	oos	0.001029	0.001004	-2.41%	0.00094305	-8.38%	0.0670	✓	1.00
2026-09-24	oos	0.0009778	0.000949493	-2.89%	0.001029	+5.26%	0.0841	✗	1.00
2026-09-23	oos	0.001144	0.00111	-3.02%	0.0009778	-14.57%	0.1268	✓	1.00
2026-09-22	oos	0.001388	0.001334	-3.93%	0.001144	-17.57%	0.1318	✓	1.00
2026-09-21	oos	0.001228	0.001177	-4.13%	0.001388	+13.06%	0.1696	✗	1.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.001401	0.001348	-3.77%	0.001228	-12.36%	0.1583	✓	1.00
2026-09-19	oos	0.00174	0.001657	-4.80%	0.001401	-19.48%	0.1666	✓	1.00
2026-09-18	oos	0.001629	0.001543	-5.25%	0.00174	+6.85%	0.1157	✗	1.00
2026-09-17	oos	0.001716	0.001582	-7.80%	0.001629	-5.07%	0.0285	✓	1.00
2026-09-16	oos	0.000835	0.000746113	-10.65%	0.001716	+105.50%	0.8301	✗	1.00
2026-09-15	oos	0.001151	0.001044	-9.29%	0.000835	-27.42%	0.2305	✓	1.00
2026-09-14	oos	0.00143	0.001291	-9.77%	0.001151	-19.57%	0.0813	✓	1.00
2026-09-13	oos	0.001492	0.001329	-10.92%	0.00143	-4.12%	0.0558	✓	1.00