BATON
baton · Solana · gru_s0
- token id
- #670
- symbol
- BATON
- variant
- –
- chain
- Solana
- address
- Hg5Ja55T5wESq4vyFoiVCMeHXtGyVA69X2UHq8hgpump
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-09-13
- predictions
- 90
Track record at +1d
assessed
29
of 30 predictions shown
direction hit
48.3%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.2715
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0337
actual +0.0485
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.00772 | 0.007572 | -1.92% | – | pending | – | – | 3.81 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.00768 | 0.007514 | -2.16% | 0.00772 | +0.52% | 0.0382 | ✗ | 3.81 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.007125 | 0.006986 | -1.95% | 0.00768 | +7.79% | 0.0441 | ✗ | 3.79 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.00669 | 0.006549 | -2.11% | 0.007125 | +6.50% | 0.0922 | ✗ | 3.81 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.00824 | 0.008044 | -2.38% | 0.00669 | -18.81% | 0.2143 | ✓ | 3.92 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.009189 | 0.008962 | -2.47% | 0.00824 | -10.33% | 0.0783 | ✓ | 3.89 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.011797 | 0.011317 | -4.07% | 0.009189 | -22.11% | 0.1799 | ✓ | 3.72 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.008406 | 0.008216 | -2.26% | 0.011797 | +40.34% | 0.3372 | ✗ | 3.61 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.012632 | 0.012329 | -2.39% | 0.008406 | -33.45% | 0.3266 | ✓ | 3.03 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.012615 | 0.012348 | -2.12% | 0.012632 | +0.13% | 0.0062 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.016412 | 0.015751 | -4.03% | 0.012615 | -23.13% | 0.1986 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.012334 | 0.012005 | -2.68% | 0.016412 | +33.06% | 0.3035 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.012115 | 0.011823 | -2.41% | 0.012334 | +1.81% | 0.0379 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.014529 | 0.013647 | -6.07% | 0.012115 | -16.61% | 0.1294 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.008748 | 0.008532 | -2.47% | 0.014529 | +66.08% | 0.5515 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.009494 | 0.009101 | -4.15% | 0.008748 | -7.86% | 0.0127 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.008108 | 0.007876 | -2.87% | 0.009494 | +17.09% | 0.1893 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.01241 | 0.011228 | -9.53% | 0.008108 | -34.66% | 0.3167 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.003733 | 0.003609 | -3.31% | 0.01241 | +232.50% | 1.2145 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.0029 | 0.002843 | -1.97% | 0.003733 | +28.71% | 0.2695 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.004281 | 0.004044 | -5.53% | 0.0029 | -32.26% | 0.3285 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.00275 | 0.0027 | -1.84% | 0.004281 | +55.67% | 0.4458 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.004067 | 0.003917 | -3.71% | 0.00275 | -32.39% | 0.3527 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.003193 | 0.003099 | -2.94% | 0.004067 | +27.39% | 0.2697 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.002944 | 0.002793 | -5.14% | 0.003193 | +8.46% | 0.1459 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.001742 | 0.00171 | -1.85% | 0.002944 | +69.00% | 0.5429 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.002018 | 0.001927 | -4.49% | 0.001742 | -13.66% | 0.1048 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.001114 | 0.001068 | -4.13% | 0.002018 | +81.10% | 0.6396 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.001269 | 0.001227 | -3.34% | 0.001114 | -12.21% | 0.0964 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.001973 | 0.001945 | -1.42% | 0.001269 | -35.68% | 0.4057 | ✓ | 1.00 |