BASECAT
Basecat · Base · gru_s0
- token id
- #592
- symbol
- BASECAT
- variant
- –
- chain
- Base
- address
- 0xb2000000000000000000004c27f6523082f41d01
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-08-24
- predictions
- 150
Track record at +1d
assessed
49
of 50 predictions shown
direction hit
61.2%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.1073
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0105
actual -0.0185
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.012065 | 0.011818 | -2.05% | – | pending | – | – | 2.76 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.01172 | 0.011479 | -2.06% | 0.012065 | +2.94% | 0.0579 | ✗ | 2.77 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.012275 | 0.012027 | -2.02% | 0.01172 | -4.52% | 0.0634 | ✓ | 2.81 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.01293 | 0.012647 | -2.19% | 0.012275 | -5.07% | 0.0240 | ✓ | 2.81 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.012765 | 0.012496 | -2.10% | 0.01293 | +1.29% | 0.0126 | ✓ | 2.81 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.012975 | 0.012694 | -2.17% | 0.012765 | -1.62% | 0.0097 | ✓ | 2.81 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.0129 | 0.012617 | -2.20% | 0.012975 | +0.58% | 0.0496 | ✗ | 2.83 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.012605 | 0.012369 | -1.87% | 0.0129 | +2.34% | 0.0228 | ✗ | 2.82 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.013565 | 0.013259 | -2.25% | 0.012605 | -7.08% | 0.0019 | ✓ | 2.82 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.013175 | 0.012934 | -1.83% | 0.013565 | +2.96% | 0.0012 | ✓ | 2.82 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.01678 | 0.015962 | -4.88% | 0.013175 | -21.48% | 0.1313 | ✓ | 2.59 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.01299 | 0.012785 | -1.58% | 0.01678 | +29.18% | 0.2491 | ✗ | 2.47 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.011325 | 0.011288 | -0.32% | 0.01299 | +14.70% | 0.1296 | ✗ | 2.44 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.01146 | 0.011451 | -0.08% | 0.011325 | -1.18% | 0.0365 | ✓ | 2.45 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.01295 | 0.012858 | -0.71% | 0.01146 | -11.51% | 0.0693 | ✓ | 2.39 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.01176 | 0.011724 | -0.30% | 0.01295 | +10.12% | 0.1722 | ✗ | 2.71 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.0129 | 0.012808 | -0.71% | 0.01176 | -8.84% | 0.0788 | ✓ | 2.70 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.01304 | 0.012914 | -0.97% | 0.0129 | -1.07% | 0.0229 | ✗ | 2.72 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.013365 | 0.013255 | -0.82% | 0.01304 | -2.43% | 0.0739 | ✓ | 2.79 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.01108 | 0.011122 | +0.38% | 0.013365 | +20.62% | 0.1759 | ✓ | 2.78 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.0119 | 0.011917 | +0.15% | 0.01108 | -6.89% | 0.0616 | ✗ | 2.76 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.012285 | 0.012319 | +0.28% | 0.0119 | -3.13% | 0.0777 | ✗ | 2.81 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.013715 | 0.013701 | -0.10% | 0.012285 | -10.43% | 0.1063 | ✓ | 2.79 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.014675 | 0.014633 | -0.29% | 0.013715 | -6.54% | 0.0709 | ✓ | 2.80 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.01592 | 0.015794 | -0.79% | 0.014675 | -7.82% | 0.0403 | ✓ | 2.77 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.016155 | 0.016025 | -0.81% | 0.01592 | -1.45% | 0.0081 | ✓ | 2.77 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.01685 | 0.016699 | -0.90% | 0.016155 | -4.12% | 0.0438 | ✓ | 2.78 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.01852 | 0.018267 | -1.37% | 0.01685 | -9.02% | 0.0712 | ✓ | 2.75 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.01875 | 0.01849 | -1.39% | 0.01852 | -1.23% | 0.0014 | ✓ | 2.75 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.0173 | 0.017119 | -1.05% | 0.01875 | +8.38% | 0.1123 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.019505 | 0.019191 | -1.61% | 0.0173 | -11.30% | 0.0991 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.01746 | 0.01743 | -0.17% | 0.019505 | +11.71% | 0.0477 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.018945 | 0.018876 | -0.37% | 0.01746 | -7.84% | 0.0771 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.02233 | 0.022034 | -1.33% | 0.018945 | -15.16% | 0.1555 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.01693 | 0.017052 | +0.72% | 0.02233 | +31.90% | 0.2121 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.016355 | 0.016485 | +0.80% | 0.01693 | +3.52% | 0.0240 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.020295 | 0.020401 | +0.52% | 0.016355 | -19.41% | 0.2284 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.02134 | 0.021363 | +0.11% | 0.020295 | -4.90% | 0.0176 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.021645 | 0.021684 | +0.18% | 0.02134 | -1.41% | 0.0338 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.022805 | 0.022789 | -0.07% | 0.021645 | -5.09% | 0.0455 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.02132 | 0.021231 | -0.42% | 0.022805 | +6.97% | 0.0708 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.031655 | 0.031556 | -0.31% | 0.02132 | -32.65% | 0.4009 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.03201 | 0.031909 | -0.32% | 0.031655 | -1.11% | 0.0146 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.039 | 0.038799 | -0.52% | 0.03201 | -17.92% | 0.1903 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.042955 | 0.04273 | -0.52% | 0.039 | -9.21% | 0.0832 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.0556 | 0.055028 | -1.03% | 0.042955 | -22.74% | 0.2320 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.07782 | 0.07484 | -3.83% | 0.0556 | -28.55% | 0.3035 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.057 | 0.055185 | -3.18% | 0.07782 | +36.53% | 0.3417 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.0465 | 0.044605 | -4.07% | 0.057 | +22.58% | 0.2649 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.02865 | 0.0285 | -0.52% | 0.0465 | +62.30% | 0.4396 | ✗ | 1.00 |