4STOCK
4Stock · Binance Smart Chain · gru_s0
- token id
- #596
- symbol
- 4STOCK
- variant
- –
- chain
- Binance Smart Chain
- address
- 0xd270d4e1ec6e6e0d28c0ecb8be966ec75997ffff
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-09-10
- predictions
- 99
Track record at +1d
assessed
32
of 33 predictions shown
direction hit
59.4%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.0990
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0044
actual -0.0339
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.003904 | 0.003861 | -1.11% | – | pending | – | – | 3.80 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.003528 | 0.003504 | -0.67% | 0.003904 | +10.66% | 0.1193 | ✗ | 3.87 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.003593 | 0.003576 | -0.49% | 0.003528 | -1.82% | 0.0652 | ✓ | 3.87 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.0032 | 0.003195 | -0.13% | 0.003593 | +12.31% | 0.1255 | ✗ | 3.93 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.003746 | 0.003736 | -0.26% | 0.0032 | -14.59% | 0.1856 | ✓ | 3.98 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.003468 | 0.003469 | +0.03% | 0.003746 | +8.03% | 0.0828 | ✓ | 4.02 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.003481 | 0.003486 | +0.13% | 0.003468 | -0.40% | 0.0258 | ✓ | 4.09 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.00381 | 0.003819 | +0.25% | 0.003481 | -8.62% | 0.1206 | ✗ | 4.11 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.004392 | 0.00439 | -0.06% | 0.00381 | -13.26% | 0.0650 | ✓ | 4.11 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.004583 | 0.004591 | +0.16% | 0.004392 | -4.17% | 0.1128 | ✗ | 4.16 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.005344 | 0.00533 | -0.26% | 0.004583 | -14.22% | 0.0528 | ✓ | 4.19 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.005176 | 0.005181 | +0.09% | 0.005344 | +3.24% | 0.0073 | ✗ | 4.15 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.005327 | 0.00534 | +0.24% | 0.005176 | -2.83% | 0.0356 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.004808 | 0.004834 | +0.54% | 0.005327 | +10.79% | 0.0867 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.005606 | 0.005612 | +0.12% | 0.004808 | -14.23% | 0.1355 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.007086 | 0.007039 | -0.66% | 0.005606 | -20.89% | 0.2009 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.006889 | 0.006849 | -0.59% | 0.007086 | +2.85% | 0.0364 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.007242 | 0.007196 | -0.63% | 0.006889 | -4.87% | 0.0348 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.007364 | 0.007318 | -0.61% | 0.007242 | -1.65% | 0.0311 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.007354 | 0.00731 | -0.60% | 0.007364 | +0.13% | 0.0045 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.009011 | 0.008952 | -0.65% | 0.007354 | -18.39% | 0.1926 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.009411 | 0.009343 | -0.71% | 0.009011 | -4.25% | 0.0516 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.008594 | 0.008539 | -0.64% | 0.009411 | +9.51% | 0.0982 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.009772 | 0.009709 | -0.64% | 0.008594 | -12.06% | 0.1243 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.011118 | 0.011038 | -0.72% | 0.009772 | -12.11% | 0.1099 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.010767 | 0.010696 | -0.66% | 0.011118 | +3.26% | 0.0382 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.010275 | 0.010215 | -0.59% | 0.010767 | +4.78% | 0.0488 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.011434 | 0.011367 | -0.58% | 0.010275 | -10.13% | 0.0975 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.013476 | 0.013365 | -0.82% | 0.011434 | -15.15% | 0.1562 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.015175 | 0.014914 | -1.72% | 0.013476 | -11.20% | 0.0800 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.011248 | 0.011158 | -0.80% | 0.015175 | +34.91% | 0.3121 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.009298 | 0.00922 | -0.84% | 0.011248 | +20.97% | 0.1340 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.011466 | 0.011336 | -1.14% | 0.009298 | -18.91% | 0.1972 | ✓ | 1.00 |