FLYBRAIN
flybrain · Robinhood · beta_5y
- token id
- #798
- symbol
- FLYBRAIN
- variant
- –
- chain
- Robinhood
- address
- 0x4eb990547bce4a982432ca88cf5fae7eed1a2d35
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-09-11
- predictions
- 99
Track record at +1d
assessed
32
of 33 predictions shown
direction hit
43.8%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.0910
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0012
actual -0.0436
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | live | 0.0002474 | 0.000245781 | -0.65% | – | pending | – | – | -0.69 |
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.0002645 | 0.000262579 | -0.73% | 0.0002474 | -0.10% | 0.0080 | ✗ | -0.75 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.0002652 | 0.000263123 | -0.78% | 0.0002645 | -0.26% | 0.0031 | ✓ | -0.72 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.00026125 | 0.000259537 | -0.66% | 0.0002652 | +1.51% | 0.0326 | ✗ | -0.83 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.0002503 | 0.000249185 | -0.45% | 0.00026125 | +4.37% | 0.0457 | ✗ | -0.79 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.00028305 | 0.000281083 | -0.69% | 0.0002503 | -11.57% | 0.1100 | ✓ | -0.78 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.00028935 | 0.000287345 | -0.69% | 0.00028305 | -2.18% | 0.0162 | ✓ | -0.76 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.00028205 | 0.000280507 | -0.55% | 0.00028935 | +2.59% | 0.0259 | ✗ | -0.67 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.0002724 | 0.000271529 | -0.32% | 0.00028205 | +3.54% | 0.0430 | ✗ | -0.73 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.0003131 | 0.000311223 | -0.60% | 0.0002724 | -13.00% | 0.1482 | ✓ | -0.80 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.00030915 | 0.000307874 | -0.41% | 0.0003131 | +1.28% | 0.0327 | ✗ | -0.96 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.0003476 | 0.000345444 | -0.62% | 0.00030915 | -11.06% | 0.1349 | ✓ | -1.02 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.000378 | 0.000374796 | -0.85% | 0.0003476 | -8.04% | 0.0845 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.0003511 | 0.00034875 | -0.67% | 0.000378 | +7.66% | 0.0761 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.0002887 | 0.000288751 | +0.02% | 0.0003511 | +21.61% | 0.1851 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.00026005 | 0.000261299 | +0.48% | 0.0002887 | +11.02% | 0.1189 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.0002819 | 0.000283193 | +0.46% | 0.00026005 | -7.75% | 0.0584 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.0003084 | 0.000309607 | +0.39% | 0.0002819 | -8.59% | 0.0913 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.0003447 | 0.000345528 | +0.24% | 0.0003084 | -10.53% | 0.1049 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.0003335 | 0.000335267 | +0.53% | 0.0003447 | +3.36% | 0.0071 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.00036455 | 0.000366267 | +0.47% | 0.0003335 | -8.52% | 0.0965 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.00033995 | 0.000342787 | +0.83% | 0.00036455 | +7.24% | 0.0656 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.0004244 | 0.000426055 | +0.39% | 0.00033995 | -19.90% | 0.2411 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.0004277 | 0.000430443 | +0.64% | 0.0004244 | -0.77% | 0.0132 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.0004821 | 0.000484463 | +0.49% | 0.0004277 | -11.28% | 0.1268 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.000441 | 0.000444508 | +0.80% | 0.0004821 | +9.32% | 0.0932 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.000604 | 0.000605948 | +0.32% | 0.000441 | -26.99% | 0.3183 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.000577 | 0.000579895 | +0.50% | 0.000604 | +4.68% | 0.0369 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.000667 | 0.000668881 | +0.28% | 0.000577 | -13.49% | 0.1443 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.000713 | 0.000713849 | +0.12% | 0.000667 | -6.45% | 0.0680 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.0007282 | 0.000725257 | -0.40% | 0.000713 | -2.09% | 0.0043 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.0007785 | 0.000765093 | -1.72% | 0.0007282 | -6.46% | 0.0448 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.001024 | 0.001016 | -0.74% | 0.0007785 | -23.94% | 0.3310 | ✓ | 1.00 |