DELTA
Delta · Robinhood · beta_5y
- token id
- #742
- symbol
- DELTA
- variant
- –
- chain
- Robinhood
- address
- 0xe8ffd7e24187f72afb08d75b1bb13088a989a791
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-08-24
- predictions
- 153
Track record at +1d
assessed
50
of 51 predictions shown
direction hit
60.0%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.1168
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0091
actual -0.0032
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | live | 0.014005 | 0.013831 | -1.24% | – | pending | – | – | 3.43 |
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.011815 | 0.011708 | -0.91% | 0.014005 | +0.97% | 0.0110 | ✗ | 3.40 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.012275 | 0.012139 | -1.11% | 0.011815 | -3.75% | 0.0171 | ✓ | 3.39 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.011275 | 0.011183 | -0.82% | 0.012275 | +8.87% | 0.0482 | ✗ | 3.37 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.011075 | 0.010993 | -0.74% | 0.011275 | +1.81% | 0.0323 | ✗ | 3.37 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.01162 | 0.011532 | -0.76% | 0.011075 | -4.69% | 0.0665 | ✓ | 3.40 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.012941 | 0.012806 | -1.05% | 0.01162 | -10.21% | 0.0923 | ✓ | 3.39 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.013122 | 0.012975 | -1.12% | 0.012941 | -1.38% | 0.0232 | ✗ | 3.39 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.01289 | 0.012761 | -1.00% | 0.013122 | +1.80% | 0.0048 | ✓ | 3.39 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.014953 | 0.01467 | -1.89% | 0.01289 | -13.80% | 0.0680 | ✓ | 3.29 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.011504 | 0.011371 | -1.15% | 0.014953 | +29.99% | 0.2224 | ✗ | 3.12 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.00957 | 0.00955 | -0.20% | 0.011504 | +20.21% | 0.2673 | ✗ | 3.47 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.00982 | 0.009809 | -0.12% | 0.00957 | -2.55% | 0.0569 | ✓ | 3.50 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.011175 | 0.011108 | -0.60% | 0.00982 | -12.12% | 0.1388 | ✓ | 3.53 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.011133 | 0.011087 | -0.42% | 0.011175 | +0.38% | 0.0289 | ✓ | 3.55 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.012469 | 0.012366 | -0.82% | 0.011133 | -10.71% | 0.0381 | ✓ | 3.49 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.013666 | 0.013504 | -1.18% | 0.012469 | -8.76% | 0.0134 | ✗ | 3.47 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.013962 | 0.0138 | -1.16% | 0.013666 | -2.12% | 0.0013 | ✓ | 3.47 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.016442 | 0.016246 | -1.19% | 0.013962 | -15.09% | 0.1219 | ✓ | 3.36 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.017937 | 0.017712 | -1.25% | 0.016442 | -8.33% | 0.1481 | ✓ | 3.57 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.016716 | 0.016502 | -1.28% | 0.017937 | +7.30% | 0.0733 | ✗ | 3.57 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.016504 | 0.016286 | -1.32% | 0.016716 | +1.29% | 0.0406 | ✗ | 3.57 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.018147 | 0.017916 | -1.27% | 0.016504 | -9.06% | 0.1393 | ✓ | 3.73 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.019621 | 0.019371 | -1.27% | 0.018147 | -7.51% | 0.0616 | ✓ | 3.71 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.021976 | 0.021672 | -1.38% | 0.019621 | -10.72% | 0.1075 | ✓ | 3.72 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.023136 | 0.022743 | -1.70% | 0.021976 | -5.01% | 0.0098 | ✓ | 3.68 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.020233 | 0.019959 | -1.36% | 0.023136 | +14.35% | 0.1457 | ✗ | 3.69 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.021156 | 0.020875 | -1.33% | 0.020233 | -4.36% | 0.0454 | ✓ | 3.70 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.024448 | 0.024079 | -1.51% | 0.021156 | -13.47% | 0.1168 | ✓ | 3.64 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.025309 | 0.024783 | -2.08% | 0.024448 | -3.40% | 0.0139 | ✓ | 3.63 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.020785 | 0.020384 | -1.93% | 0.025309 | +21.77% | 0.2378 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.020234 | 0.019524 | -3.51% | 0.020785 | +2.72% | 0.0672 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.011271 | 0.011152 | -1.06% | 0.020234 | +79.53% | 0.5309 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.01237 | 0.012211 | -1.29% | 0.011271 | -8.88% | 0.0792 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.0163 | 0.015949 | -2.15% | 0.01237 | -24.11% | 0.2586 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.013229 | 0.013067 | -1.22% | 0.0163 | +23.21% | 0.1634 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.014519 | 0.014238 | -1.94% | 0.013229 | -8.88% | 0.0762 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.01313 | 0.012914 | -1.64% | 0.014519 | +10.58% | 0.1097 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.010613 | 0.010591 | -0.21% | 0.01313 | +23.71% | 0.2486 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.007963 | 0.008053 | +1.13% | 0.010613 | +33.29% | 0.2584 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.010432 | 0.010495 | +0.60% | 0.007963 | -23.67% | 0.2701 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.011622 | 0.011665 | +0.37% | 0.010432 | -10.24% | 0.1125 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.011299 | 0.011371 | +0.63% | 0.011622 | +2.86% | 0.0132 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.011225 | 0.011323 | +0.86% | 0.011299 | +0.65% | 0.0205 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.015572 | 0.015519 | -0.34% | 0.011225 | -27.91% | 0.3218 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.014605 | 0.014589 | -0.11% | 0.015572 | +6.62% | 0.0734 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.012454 | 0.012509 | +0.44% | 0.014605 | +17.27% | 0.1706 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.012201 | 0.01222 | +0.15% | 0.012454 | +2.07% | 0.0127 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.015719 | 0.01568 | -0.25% | 0.012201 | -22.38% | 0.2528 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.018546 | 0.018396 | -0.81% | 0.015719 | -15.24% | 0.1375 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.013588 | 0.013458 | -0.96% | 0.018546 | +36.48% | 0.2707 | ✗ | 1.00 |