CFX

Conflux · native · beta_5y

token id: #171
symbol: CFX
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-02-06
predictions: 750

Track record at +1d

assessed

249

of 250 predictions shown

direction hit

55.4%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0235

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0037

actual -0.0006

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	live	0.055235	0.054961	-0.50%	–	pending	–	–	1.01
2026-10-21	oos	0.05519	0.054891	-0.54%	0.055235	+0.49%	0.0080	✗	1.03
2026-10-20	oos	0.0549	0.054571	-0.60%	0.05519	+0.53%	0.0143	✗	1.03
2026-10-19	oos	0.052375	0.052171	-0.39%	0.0549	+4.82%	0.0375	✗	1.01
2026-10-18	oos	0.05279	0.052601	-0.36%	0.052375	-0.79%	0.0022	✓	1.01
2026-10-17	oos	0.053675	0.053454	-0.41%	0.05279	-1.65%	0.0203	✓	1.01
2026-10-16	oos	0.055565	0.055331	-0.42%	0.053675	-3.40%	0.0289	✓	1.01
2026-10-15	oos	0.05602	0.055701	-0.57%	0.055565	-0.81%	0.0052	✓	1.01
2026-10-14	oos	0.05646	0.056165	-0.52%	0.05602	-0.78%	0.0095	✓	1.01
2026-10-13	oos	0.05744	0.057026	-0.72%	0.05646	-1.71%	0.0087	✗	1.00
2026-10-12	oos	0.05726	0.056801	-0.80%	0.05744	+0.31%	0.0054	✓	1.01
2026-10-11	oos	0.06725	0.065973	-1.90%	0.05726	-14.86%	0.1202	✓	0.92
2026-10-10	oos	0.06166	0.060476	-1.92%	0.06725	+9.07%	0.0977	✗	0.92
2026-10-09	oos	0.050715	0.050567	-0.29%	0.06166	+21.58%	0.1943	✗	0.91
2026-10-08	oos	0.049865	0.049677	-0.38%	0.050715	+1.70%	0.0113	✗	0.90
2026-10-07	oos	0.05179	0.051578	-0.41%	0.049865	-3.72%	0.0167	✓	0.89
2026-10-06	oos	0.054365	0.054038	-0.60%	0.05179	-4.74%	0.0192	✓	0.87
2026-10-05	oos	0.05497	0.054708	-0.48%	0.054365	-1.10%	0.0042	✓	0.87
2026-10-04	oos	0.05434	0.054089	-0.46%	0.05497	+1.16%	0.0240	✗	0.89
2026-10-03	oos	0.05435	0.054089	-0.48%	0.05434	-0.02%	0.0138	✓	0.89
2026-10-02	oos	0.053055	0.052823	-0.44%	0.05435	+2.44%	0.0260	✗	0.89
2026-10-01	oos	0.05364	0.053405	-0.44%	0.053055	-1.09%	0.0030	✓	0.89
2026-09-30	oos	0.055195	0.054901	-0.53%	0.05364	-2.82%	0.0373	✓	0.91
2026-09-29	oos	0.05457	0.054285	-0.52%	0.055195	+1.15%	0.0175	✗	0.91
2026-09-28	oos	0.05382	0.053527	-0.54%	0.05457	+1.39%	0.0173	✗	0.91
2026-09-27	oos	0.05651	0.056167	-0.61%	0.05382	-4.76%	0.0322	✓	0.88
2026-09-26	oos	0.05616	0.0558	-0.64%	0.05651	+0.62%	0.0122	✗	0.88
2026-09-25	oos	0.056195	0.055796	-0.71%	0.05616	-0.06%	0.0031	✓	0.88
2026-09-24	oos	0.05391	0.053592	-0.59%	0.056195	+4.24%	0.0505	✗	0.89
2026-09-23	oos	0.05144	0.051214	-0.44%	0.05391	+4.80%	0.0512	✗	0.90
2026-09-22	oos	0.05508	0.054745	-0.61%	0.05144	-6.61%	0.0437	✓	0.87
2026-09-21	oos	0.053975	0.053614	-0.67%	0.05508	+2.05%	0.0311	✗	0.90
2026-09-20	oos	0.05281	0.052369	-0.83%	0.053975	+2.21%	0.0326	✓	0.97
2026-09-19	oos	0.050825	0.050495	-0.65%	0.05281	+3.91%	0.0457	✗	0.97
2026-09-18	oos	0.0495	0.04923	-0.55%	0.050825	+2.68%	0.0276	✗	0.97
2026-09-17	oos	0.04602	0.045877	-0.31%	0.0495	+7.56%	0.0229	✗	0.92
2026-09-16	oos	0.04576	0.045665	-0.21%	0.04602	+0.57%	0.0053	✗	0.92
2026-09-15	oos	0.04518	0.04515	-0.07%	0.04576	+1.28%	0.0064	✗	0.95
2026-09-14	oos	0.047185	0.047153	-0.07%	0.04518	-4.25%	0.0123	✓	0.90
2026-09-13	oos	0.047095	0.047113	+0.04%	0.047185	+0.19%	0.0141	✗	0.88
2026-09-12	oos	0.04738	0.047418	+0.08%	0.047095	-0.60%	0.0015	✗	0.88
2026-09-11	oos	0.046705	0.046847	+0.31%	0.04738	+1.45%	0.0107	✓	0.89
2026-09-10	oos	0.0455	0.045735	+0.52%	0.046705	+2.65%	0.0132	✓	0.88
2026-09-09	oos	0.048475	0.048709	+0.48%	0.0455	-6.14%	0.0489	✗	0.85
2026-09-08	oos	0.04931	0.049577	+0.54%	0.048475	-1.69%	0.0207	✗	0.86
2026-09-07	oos	0.0493	0.049614	+0.64%	0.04931	+0.02%	0.0010	✓	0.87
2026-09-06	oos	0.049965	0.050287	+0.64%	0.0493	-1.33%	0.0062	✓	0.87
2026-09-05	oos	0.049095	0.04945	+0.72%	0.049965	+1.77%	0.0049	✓	0.87
2026-09-04	oos	0.04742	0.047847	+0.90%	0.049095	+3.53%	0.0240	✓	0.89
2026-09-03	oos	0.048105	0.048565	+0.96%	0.04742	-1.42%	0.0061	✓	0.90
2026-09-02	oos	0.0476	0.047973	+0.78%	0.048105	+1.06%	0.0473	✗	1.00
2026-09-01	oos	0.04664	0.046978	+0.72%	0.0476	+2.06%	0.0144	✓	1.01
2026-08-31	oos	0.045725	0.046024	+0.65%	0.04664	+2.00%	0.0273	✓	0.94
2026-08-30	oos	0.04408	0.044305	+0.51%	0.045725	+3.73%	0.0210	✓	0.92
2026-08-29	oos	0.045425	0.045581	+0.34%	0.04408	-2.96%	0.0270	✗	0.88
2026-08-28	oos	0.045615	0.045779	+0.36%	0.045425	-0.42%	0.0122	✗	0.88
2026-08-27	oos	0.047975	0.048064	+0.18%	0.045615	-4.92%	0.0257	✗	0.86
2026-08-26	oos	0.04866	0.048672	+0.02%	0.047975	-1.41%	0.0281	✗	0.87
2026-08-25	oos	0.046875	0.04689	+0.03%	0.04866	+3.81%	0.0315	✓	0.87
2026-08-24	oos	0.049015	0.048957	-0.12%	0.046875	-4.37%	0.0385	✓	0.86
2026-08-23	oos	0.04957	0.049447	-0.25%	0.049015	-1.12%	0.0228	✓	0.88
2026-08-22	oos	0.04834	0.048227	-0.23%	0.04957	+2.54%	0.0198	✗	0.88
2026-08-21	oos	0.05023	0.049975	-0.51%	0.04834	-3.76%	0.0192	✓	0.86
2026-08-20	oos	0.044905	0.044794	-0.25%	0.05023	+11.86%	0.0610	✗	0.76
2026-08-19	oos	0.04415	0.044015	-0.31%	0.044905	+1.71%	0.0220	✓	0.80
2026-08-18	oos	0.04107	0.040943	-0.31%	0.04415	+7.50%	0.0233	✗	0.76
2026-08-17	oos	0.042115	0.041912	-0.48%	0.04107	-2.48%	0.0227	✓	0.76
2026-08-16	oos	0.04207	0.041904	-0.40%	0.042115	+0.11%	0.0150	✓	0.78
2026-08-15	oos	0.042265	0.04208	-0.44%	0.04207	-0.46%	0.0020	✓	0.78
2026-08-14	oos	0.04286	0.042602	-0.60%	0.042265	-1.39%	0.0085	✓	0.79
2026-08-13	oos	0.04168	0.04151	-0.41%	0.04286	+2.83%	0.0378	✗	0.82
2026-08-12	oos	0.0411	0.040945	-0.38%	0.04168	+1.41%	0.0176	✗	0.88
2026-08-11	oos	0.041285	0.041141	-0.35%	0.0411	-0.45%	0.0008	✓	0.98
2026-08-10	oos	0.04198	0.041842	-0.33%	0.041285	-1.66%	0.0078	✓	0.94
2026-08-09	oos	0.04128	0.041177	-0.25%	0.04198	+1.70%	0.0333	✗	0.96
2026-08-08	oos	0.042025	0.041897	-0.31%	0.04128	-1.77%	0.0139	✓	0.96
2026-08-07	oos	0.04067	0.04057	-0.25%	0.042025	+3.33%	0.0350	✗	0.96
2026-08-06	oos	0.040075	0.039938	-0.34%	0.04067	+1.48%	0.0089	✗	0.95
2026-08-05	oos	0.03802	0.037963	-0.15%	0.040075	+5.41%	0.0592	✗	0.96
2026-08-04	oos	0.03913	0.039033	-0.25%	0.03802	-2.84%	0.0345	✓	0.96
2026-08-03	oos	0.040785	0.040664	-0.30%	0.03913	-4.06%	0.0473	✓	0.96
2026-08-02	oos	0.041895	0.041734	-0.38%	0.040785	-2.65%	0.0225	✓	1.00
2026-08-01	oos	0.04286	0.042583	-0.65%	0.041895	-2.25%	0.0280	✓	1.01
2026-07-31	oos	0.042085	0.041653	-1.03%	0.04286	+1.84%	0.0296	✗	1.01
2026-07-30	oos	0.040985	0.04087	-0.28%	0.042085	+2.68%	0.0608	✗	1.06
2026-07-29	oos	0.041605	0.041493	-0.27%	0.040985	-1.49%	0.0261	✓	1.08
2026-07-28	oos	0.042655	0.042529	-0.29%	0.041605	-2.46%	0.0228	✓	1.08
2026-07-27	oos	0.042905	0.042787	-0.28%	0.042655	-0.58%	0.0057	✓	1.09
2026-07-26	oos	0.04454	0.044416	-0.28%	0.042905	-3.67%	0.0072	✓	1.07
2026-07-25	oos	0.0441	0.043979	-0.27%	0.04454	+1.00%	0.0048	✓	1.08
2026-07-24	oos	0.043605	0.043505	-0.23%	0.0441	+1.14%	0.0100	✗	1.08
2026-07-23	oos	0.046245	0.046106	-0.30%	0.043605	-5.71%	0.0399	✓	1.06
2026-07-22	oos	0.04698	0.046794	-0.40%	0.046245	-1.56%	0.0047	✗	1.05
2026-07-21	oos	0.04594	0.045812	-0.28%	0.04698	+2.26%	0.0320	✗	1.05
2026-07-20	oos	0.044955	0.044838	-0.26%	0.04594	+2.19%	0.0039	✗	1.03
2026-07-19	oos	0.046285	0.046154	-0.28%	0.044955	-2.87%	0.0348	✓	1.04
2026-07-18	oos	0.04663	0.046486	-0.31%	0.046285	-0.74%	0.0025	✓	1.03
2026-07-17	oos	0.04605	0.045894	-0.34%	0.04663	+1.26%	0.0013	✓	1.04
2026-07-16	oos	0.04466	0.044499	-0.36%	0.04605	+3.11%	0.0322	✗	1.06
2026-07-15	oos	0.044555	0.044434	-0.27%	0.04466	+0.24%	0.0199	✗	1.01
2026-07-14	oos	0.04465	0.044514	-0.30%	0.044555	-0.21%	0.0053	✗	1.04
2026-07-13	oos	0.04237	0.042255	-0.27%	0.04465	+5.38%	0.0102	✗	1.05
2026-07-12	oos	0.044305	0.044132	-0.39%	0.04237	-4.37%	0.0164	✓	1.04
2026-07-11	oos	0.04381	0.043684	-0.29%	0.044305	+1.13%	0.0147	✗	1.08
2026-07-10	oos	0.042955	0.04284	-0.27%	0.04381	+1.99%	0.0285	✗	1.10
2026-07-09	oos	0.042375	0.042277	-0.23%	0.042955	+1.37%	0.0006	✓	1.10
2026-07-08	oos	0.0422	0.042088	-0.26%	0.042375	+0.41%	0.0101	✓	1.13
2026-07-07	oos	0.042965	0.042852	-0.26%	0.0422	-1.78%	0.0044	✗	1.14
2026-07-06	oos	0.044755	0.044637	-0.26%	0.042965	-4.00%	0.0260	✓	1.15
2026-07-05	oos	0.045215	0.045083	-0.29%	0.044755	-1.02%	0.0150	✓	1.18
2026-07-04	oos	0.045695	0.045524	-0.37%	0.045215	-1.05%	0.0161	✓	1.18
2026-07-03	oos	0.04615	0.045961	-0.41%	0.045695	-0.99%	0.0162	✓	1.16
2026-07-02	oos	0.04407	0.043925	-0.33%	0.04615	+4.72%	0.0303	✗	1.14
2026-07-01	oos	0.043895	0.043747	-0.34%	0.04407	+0.40%	0.0218	✓	1.16
2026-06-30	oos	0.04261	0.04248	-0.30%	0.043895	+3.02%	0.0042	✗	1.18
2026-06-29	oos	0.042955	0.042815	-0.33%	0.04261	-0.80%	0.0283	✗	1.20
2026-06-28	oos	0.0421	0.041985	-0.27%	0.042955	+2.03%	0.0092	✗	1.18
2026-06-27	oos	0.04209	0.041985	-0.25%	0.0421	+0.02%	0.0119	✗	1.18
2026-06-26	oos	0.04288	0.042755	-0.29%	0.04209	-1.84%	0.0143	✓	1.19
2026-06-25	oos	0.04249	0.042378	-0.26%	0.04288	+0.92%	0.0058	✗	1.19
2026-06-24	oos	0.043665	0.043527	-0.32%	0.04249	-2.69%	0.0006	✓	1.17
2026-06-23	oos	0.046195	0.046044	-0.33%	0.043665	-5.48%	0.0225	✓	1.14
2026-06-22	oos	0.047685	0.047499	-0.39%	0.046195	-3.12%	0.0045	✓	1.13
2026-06-21	oos	0.04719	0.047006	-0.39%	0.047685	+1.05%	0.0016	✓	1.13
2026-06-20	oos	0.047385	0.047223	-0.34%	0.04719	-0.41%	0.0161	✗	1.09
2026-06-19	oos	0.048765	0.048558	-0.43%	0.047385	-2.83%	0.0374	✓	1.11
2026-06-18	oos	0.048805	0.048551	-0.52%	0.048765	-0.08%	0.0062	✓	1.12
2026-06-17	oos	0.05184	0.051496	-0.66%	0.048805	-5.85%	0.0265	✓	1.10
2026-06-16	oos	0.05	0.049757	-0.49%	0.05184	+3.68%	0.0611	✗	1.11
2026-06-15	oos	0.04691	0.046704	-0.44%	0.05	+6.59%	0.0795	✗	1.13
2026-06-14	oos	0.046425	0.046251	-0.37%	0.04691	+1.04%	0.0044	✗	1.13
2026-06-13	oos	0.045135	0.045	-0.30%	0.046425	+2.86%	0.0083	✗	1.17
2026-06-12	oos	0.044785	0.044661	-0.28%	0.045135	+0.78%	0.0064	✓	1.21
2026-06-11	oos	0.04505	0.044916	-0.30%	0.044785	-0.59%	0.0024	✓	1.21
2026-06-10	oos	0.043335	0.043221	-0.26%	0.04505	+3.96%	0.0001	✓	1.22
2026-06-09	oos	0.04464	0.044531	-0.24%	0.043335	-2.92%	0.0225	✓	1.22
2026-06-08	oos	0.04563	0.045486	-0.31%	0.04464	-2.17%	0.0084	✗	1.23
2026-06-07	oos	0.04547	0.045299	-0.38%	0.04563	+0.35%	0.0119	✗	1.23
2026-06-06	oos	0.04323	0.043156	-0.17%	0.04547	+5.18%	0.0041	✗	1.22
2026-06-05	oos	0.04531	0.045213	-0.21%	0.04323	-4.59%	0.0413	✓	1.21
2026-06-04	oos	0.04939	0.049167	-0.45%	0.04531	-8.26%	0.0296	✓	1.17
2026-06-03	oos	0.05149	0.051162	-0.64%	0.04939	-4.08%	0.0311	✓	1.14
2026-06-02	oos	0.04983	0.049626	-0.41%	0.05149	+3.33%	0.0860	✗	1.23
2026-06-01	oos	0.05281	0.052534	-0.52%	0.04983	-5.64%	0.0323	✗	1.26
2026-05-31	oos	0.05227	0.052028	-0.46%	0.05281	+1.03%	0.0558	✗	1.31
2026-05-30	oos	0.05196	0.051718	-0.47%	0.05227	+0.60%	0.0140	✗	1.29
2026-05-29	oos	0.05263	0.052367	-0.50%	0.05196	-1.27%	0.0149	✓	1.30
2026-05-28	oos	0.05174	0.051493	-0.48%	0.05263	+1.72%	0.0244	✗	1.30
2026-05-27	oos	0.053585	0.05314	-0.83%	0.05174	-3.44%	0.0126	✓	1.29
2026-05-26	oos	0.053745	0.053509	-0.44%	0.053585	-0.30%	0.0279	✗	1.31
2026-05-25	oos	0.05578	0.055524	-0.46%	0.053745	-3.65%	0.0083	✓	1.31
2026-05-24	oos	0.054455	0.054247	-0.38%	0.05578	+2.43%	0.0233	✗	1.30
2026-05-23	oos	0.057075	0.056826	-0.44%	0.054455	-4.59%	0.0481	✓	1.30
2026-05-22	oos	0.055605	0.055437	-0.30%	0.057075	+2.64%	0.0085	✗	1.30
2026-05-21	oos	0.05755	0.057376	-0.30%	0.055605	-3.38%	0.0045	✗	1.30
2026-05-20	oos	0.058565	0.058376	-0.32%	0.05755	-1.73%	0.0155	✓	1.30
2026-05-19	oos	0.058305	0.058135	-0.29%	0.058565	+0.45%	0.0046	✓	1.30
2026-05-18	oos	0.05855	0.058433	-0.20%	0.058305	-0.42%	0.0008	✓	1.30
2026-05-17	oos	0.061255	0.061095	-0.26%	0.05855	-4.42%	0.0348	✓	1.29
2026-05-16	oos	0.06493	0.064677	-0.39%	0.061255	-5.66%	0.0429	✓	1.28
2026-05-15	oos	0.06895	0.068612	-0.49%	0.06493	-5.83%	0.0398	✓	1.27
2026-05-14	oos	0.07685	0.076178	-0.88%	0.06895	-10.28%	0.0686	✓	1.23
2026-05-13	oos	0.0678	0.067345	-0.67%	0.07685	+13.35%	0.1046	✗	1.23
2026-05-12	oos	0.06396	0.063749	-0.33%	0.0678	+6.00%	0.0800	✗	1.23
2026-05-11	oos	0.06583	0.065607	-0.34%	0.06396	-2.84%	0.0068	✓	1.22
2026-05-10	oos	0.067055	0.0668	-0.38%	0.06583	-1.83%	0.0074	✓	1.26
2026-05-09	oos	0.06576	0.065527	-0.35%	0.067055	+1.97%	0.0007	✓	1.25
2026-05-08	oos	0.06703	0.066747	-0.42%	0.06576	-1.89%	0.0221	✓	1.24
2026-05-07	oos	0.064835	0.064529	-0.47%	0.06703	+3.39%	0.0352	✗	1.24
2026-05-06	oos	0.0634	0.063151	-0.39%	0.064835	+2.26%	0.0487	✗	1.26
2026-05-05	oos	0.06532	0.064795	-0.80%	0.0634	-2.94%	0.0300	✓	1.27
2026-05-04	oos	0.06074	0.060548	-0.32%	0.06532	+7.54%	0.0594	✗	1.25
2026-05-03	oos	0.06056	0.060322	-0.39%	0.06074	+0.30%	0.0137	✓	1.26
2026-05-02	oos	0.06116	0.060705	-0.74%	0.06056	-0.98%	0.0004	✓	1.26
2026-05-01	oos	0.06047	0.060295	-0.29%	0.06116	+1.14%	0.0070	✗	1.26
2026-04-30	oos	0.0589	0.058756	-0.24%	0.06047	+2.67%	0.0027	✓	1.26
2026-04-29	oos	0.058095	0.057947	-0.25%	0.0589	+1.39%	0.0071	✗	1.26
2026-04-28	oos	0.059875	0.059709	-0.28%	0.058095	-2.97%	0.0181	✓	1.26
2026-04-27	oos	0.059885	0.059715	-0.28%	0.059875	-0.02%	0.0199	✗	1.26
2026-04-26	oos	0.0615	0.061309	-0.31%	0.059885	-2.63%	0.0024	✓	1.26
2026-04-25	oos	0.06086	0.060619	-0.40%	0.0615	+1.05%	0.0021	✓	1.26
2026-04-24	oos	0.061505	0.061081	-0.69%	0.06086	-1.05%	0.0067	✓	1.26
2026-04-23	oos	0.059825	0.059619	-0.34%	0.061505	+2.81%	0.0446	✗	1.27
2026-04-22	oos	0.058525	0.05833	-0.33%	0.059825	+2.22%	0.0241	✗	1.27
2026-04-21	oos	0.05842	0.058213	-0.35%	0.058525	+0.18%	0.0257	✓	1.29
2026-04-20	oos	0.059045	0.058837	-0.35%	0.05842	-1.06%	0.0153	✓	1.29
2026-04-19	oos	0.05817	0.05797	-0.34%	0.059045	+1.50%	0.0173	✓	1.31
2026-04-18	oos	0.060975	0.060734	-0.40%	0.05817	-4.60%	0.0099	✓	1.30
2026-04-17	oos	0.064875	0.064483	-0.60%	0.060975	-6.01%	0.0332	✓	1.28
2026-04-16	oos	0.06802	0.067145	-1.29%	0.064875	-4.62%	0.0682	✓	1.33
2026-04-15	oos	0.057265	0.057014	-0.44%	0.06802	+18.78%	0.1708	✗	1.32
2026-04-14	oos	0.05331	0.053146	-0.31%	0.057265	+7.42%	0.0632	✗	1.30
2026-04-13	oos	0.05548	0.055225	-0.46%	0.05331	-3.91%	0.0306	✓	1.30
2026-04-12	oos	0.05123	0.051067	-0.32%	0.05548	+8.30%	0.0178	✗	1.28
2026-04-11	oos	0.05411	0.053904	-0.38%	0.05123	-5.32%	0.0098	✓	1.27
2026-04-10	oos	0.05474	0.054415	-0.59%	0.05411	-1.15%	0.0071	✓	1.27
2026-04-09	oos	0.05193	0.051735	-0.38%	0.05474	+5.41%	0.0357	✗	1.25
2026-04-08	oos	0.05001	0.049868	-0.28%	0.05193	+3.84%	0.0281	✗	1.25
2026-04-07	oos	0.05308	0.052882	-0.37%	0.05001	-5.78%	0.0417	✓	1.23
2026-04-06	oos	0.04943	0.049279	-0.31%	0.05308	+7.38%	0.0219	✗	1.21
2026-04-05	oos	0.051445	0.051262	-0.36%	0.04943	-3.92%	0.0338	✓	1.20
2026-04-04	oos	0.05209	0.051891	-0.38%	0.051445	-1.24%	0.0398	✓	1.24
2026-04-03	oos	0.05215	0.051954	-0.38%	0.05209	-0.12%	0.0035	✓	1.24
2026-04-02	oos	0.051315	0.051148	-0.33%	0.05215	+1.63%	0.0182	✗	1.24
2026-04-01	oos	0.054115	0.053883	-0.43%	0.051315	-5.17%	0.0268	✓	1.22
2026-03-31	oos	0.05409	0.053866	-0.41%	0.054115	+0.05%	0.0066	✗	1.22
2026-03-30	oos	0.05359	0.053341	-0.46%	0.05409	+0.93%	0.0133	✓	1.24
2026-03-29	oos	0.05317	0.052769	-0.75%	0.05359	+0.79%	0.0008	✓	1.24
2026-03-28	oos	0.05678	0.056474	-0.54%	0.05317	-6.36%	0.0535	✓	1.23
2026-03-27	oos	0.05822	0.057884	-0.58%	0.05678	-2.47%	0.0186	✓	1.23
2026-03-26	oos	0.05955	0.059075	-0.80%	0.05822	-2.23%	0.0303	✗	1.25
2026-03-25	oos	0.06146	0.061116	-0.56%	0.05955	-3.11%	0.0198	✗	1.27
2026-03-24	oos	0.06123	0.060885	-0.56%	0.06146	+0.38%	0.0044	✓	1.27
2026-03-23	oos	0.06042	0.060104	-0.52%	0.06123	+1.34%	0.0247	✗	1.27
2026-03-22	oos	0.05996	0.059649	-0.52%	0.06042	+0.77%	0.0467	✓	1.36
2026-03-21	oos	0.06205	0.061698	-0.57%	0.05996	-3.37%	0.0075	✓	1.35
2026-03-20	oos	0.064805	0.064247	-0.86%	0.06205	-4.25%	0.0044	✓	1.34
2026-03-19	oos	0.06271	0.062323	-0.62%	0.064805	+3.34%	0.0281	✗	1.33
2026-03-18	oos	0.06176	0.061304	-0.74%	0.06271	+1.54%	0.0482	✗	1.36
2026-03-17	oos	0.06426	0.063822	-0.68%	0.06176	-3.89%	0.0178	✗	1.37
2026-03-16	oos	0.06635	0.065689	-1.00%	0.06426	-3.15%	0.0046	✓	1.36
2026-03-15	oos	0.0613	0.060606	-1.13%	0.06635	+8.24%	0.0540	✗	1.31
2026-03-14	oos	0.05555	0.055239	-0.56%	0.0613	+10.35%	0.0764	✗	1.25
2026-03-13	oos	0.0562	0.055628	-1.02%	0.05555	-1.16%	0.0065	✓	1.25
2026-03-12	oos	0.05381	0.053521	-0.54%	0.0562	+4.44%	0.0416	✗	1.24
2026-03-11	oos	0.05232	0.052017	-0.58%	0.05381	+2.85%	0.0282	✗	1.24
2026-03-10	oos	0.05021	0.049964	-0.49%	0.05232	+4.20%	0.0417	✗	1.23
2026-03-09	oos	0.04916	0.048929	-0.47%	0.05021	+2.14%	0.0015	✓	1.24
2026-03-08	oos	0.04734	0.047131	-0.44%	0.04916	+3.84%	0.0037	✓	1.25
2026-03-07	oos	0.04764	0.047438	-0.42%	0.04734	-0.63%	0.0173	✗	1.00
2026-03-06	oos	0.04897	0.048746	-0.46%	0.04764	-2.72%	0.0104	✓	1.00
2026-03-05	oos	0.04977	0.049559	-0.42%	0.04897	-1.61%	0.0280	✗	1.00
2026-03-04	oos	0.05161	0.051367	-0.47%	0.04977	-3.57%	0.0066	✓	1.00
2026-03-03	oos	0.04813	0.047921	-0.43%	0.05161	+7.23%	0.0125	✗	1.00
2026-03-02	oos	0.04921	0.048988	-0.45%	0.04813	-2.19%	0.0104	✓	1.00
2026-03-01	oos	0.04711	0.046902	-0.44%	0.04921	+4.46%	0.0025	✓	1.00
2026-02-28	oos	0.048835	0.04861	-0.46%	0.04711	-3.53%	0.0133	✓	1.00
2026-02-27	oos	0.048075	0.047861	-0.45%	0.048835	+1.58%	0.0035	✓	1.00
2026-02-26	oos	0.04965	0.049427	-0.45%	0.048075	-3.17%	0.0033	✓	1.00
2026-02-25	oos	0.051875	0.051614	-0.50%	0.04965	-4.29%	0.0314	✓	1.00
2026-02-24	oos	0.048075	0.047851	-0.47%	0.051875	+7.90%	0.0213	✗	1.00
2026-02-23	oos	0.04837	0.048151	-0.45%	0.048075	-0.61%	0.0071	✗	1.00
2026-02-22	oos	0.051055	0.050818	-0.46%	0.04837	-5.26%	0.0041	✓	1.00
2026-02-21	oos	0.052355	0.052098	-0.49%	0.051055	-2.48%	0.0152	✓	1.00
2026-02-20	oos	0.052145	0.051879	-0.51%	0.052355	+0.40%	0.0096	✗	1.00
2026-02-19	oos	0.051145	0.050908	-0.46%	0.052145	+1.96%	0.0090	✗	1.00
2026-02-18	oos	0.052585	0.052323	-0.50%	0.051145	-2.74%	0.0311	✓	1.00
2026-02-17	oos	0.05454	0.054255	-0.52%	0.052585	-3.58%	0.0156	✓	1.00
2026-02-16	oos	0.05528	0.054978	-0.55%	0.05454	-1.34%	0.0124	✗	1.00
2026-02-15	oos	0.055435	0.05512	-0.57%	0.05528	-0.28%	0.0019	✓	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.