BONER
Boner Coin · Robinhood · beta_5y
- token id
- #681
- symbol
- BONER
- variant
- –
- chain
- Robinhood
- address
- 0x98096d17e191b3da1d5f99a6d7b3584351b11e18
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-08-31
- predictions
- 132
Track record at +1d
assessed
42
of 44 predictions shown
direction hit
64.3%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.1177
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0042
actual -0.0226
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | live | 0.01892 | 0.018858 | -0.33% | – | pending | – | – | 4.09 |
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.01597 | 0.016009 | +0.24% | – | pending | – | – | 3.96 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.01561 | 0.015671 | +0.39% | 0.01597 | +2.31% | 0.0306 | ✓ | 3.98 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.01363 | 0.013757 | +0.93% | 0.01561 | +14.53% | 0.0743 | ✓ | 3.89 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.01369 | 0.013843 | +1.12% | 0.01363 | -0.44% | 0.0074 | ✓ | 3.90 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.01417 | 0.014349 | +1.26% | 0.01369 | -3.39% | 0.0770 | ✗ | 3.91 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.015905 | 0.016106 | +1.26% | 0.01417 | -10.91% | 0.1224 | ✗ | 3.90 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.02001 | 0.020192 | +0.91% | 0.015905 | -20.51% | 0.2095 | ✗ | 3.82 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.02134 | 0.021532 | +0.90% | 0.02001 | -6.23% | 0.0995 | ✗ | 3.84 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.025135 | 0.025255 | +0.48% | 0.02134 | -15.10% | 0.0982 | ✗ | 3.76 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.02951 | 0.029537 | +0.09% | 0.025135 | -14.83% | 0.2265 | ✗ | 3.95 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.042215 | 0.041988 | -0.54% | 0.02951 | -30.10% | 0.2692 | ✓ | 3.56 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.03944 | 0.039298 | -0.36% | 0.042215 | +7.04% | 0.0390 | ✗ | 3.54 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.04343 | 0.043214 | -0.50% | 0.03944 | -9.19% | 0.1071 | ✓ | 3.56 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.04313 | 0.042934 | -0.46% | 0.04343 | +0.70% | 0.0255 | ✓ | 3.57 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.048 | 0.047726 | -0.57% | 0.04313 | -10.15% | 0.0335 | ✓ | 3.53 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.05262 | 0.052273 | -0.66% | 0.048 | -8.78% | 0.0105 | ✗ | 3.57 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.0639 | 0.063298 | -0.94% | 0.05262 | -17.65% | 0.1762 | ✓ | 3.51 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.0698 | 0.068712 | -1.56% | 0.0639 | -8.45% | 0.0421 | ✓ | 3.47 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.05501 | 0.054495 | -0.94% | 0.0698 | +26.89% | 0.1807 | ✗ | 3.24 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.05456 | 0.053866 | -1.27% | 0.05501 | +0.82% | 0.0119 | ✓ | 3.24 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.04361 | 0.043319 | -0.67% | 0.05456 | +25.11% | 0.2444 | ✗ | 3.36 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.04482 | 0.044499 | -0.72% | 0.04361 | -2.70% | 0.0726 | ✓ | 3.41 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.04556 | 0.045226 | -0.73% | 0.04482 | -1.62% | 0.0080 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.04924 | 0.048767 | -0.96% | 0.04556 | -7.47% | 0.0702 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.04375 | 0.043438 | -0.71% | 0.04924 | +12.55% | 0.1374 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.04778 | 0.04739 | -0.82% | 0.04375 | -8.43% | 0.0805 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.05802 | 0.057095 | -1.59% | 0.04778 | -17.65% | 0.1819 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.04201 | 0.041728 | -0.67% | 0.05802 | +38.11% | 0.3331 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.05023 | 0.049771 | -0.91% | 0.04201 | -16.36% | 0.1696 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.051945 | 0.051393 | -1.06% | 0.05023 | -3.30% | 0.0015 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.04886 | 0.048408 | -0.92% | 0.051945 | +6.31% | 0.0751 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.04936 | 0.048884 | -0.96% | 0.04886 | -1.01% | 0.0653 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.04997 | 0.049456 | -1.03% | 0.04936 | -1.22% | 0.0010 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.05047 | 0.049882 | -1.16% | 0.04997 | -0.99% | 0.0027 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.05051 | 0.049762 | -1.48% | 0.05047 | -0.08% | 0.0435 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.04017 | 0.039927 | -0.60% | 0.05051 | +25.74% | 0.2324 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.0375 | 0.037378 | -0.33% | 0.04017 | +7.12% | 0.0646 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.047045 | 0.04626 | -1.67% | 0.0375 | -20.29% | 0.1762 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.03198 | 0.032099 | +0.37% | 0.047045 | +47.11% | 0.3645 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.03827 | 0.038186 | -0.22% | 0.03198 | -16.44% | 0.1713 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.03341 | 0.033555 | +0.43% | 0.03827 | +14.55% | 0.1308 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.04592 | 0.045664 | -0.56% | 0.03341 | -27.24% | 0.3212 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.04016 | 0.040169 | +0.02% | 0.04592 | +14.34% | 0.1564 | ✓ | 1.00 |