BATON
baton · Solana · beta_5y
- token id
- #670
- symbol
- BATON
- variant
- –
- chain
- Solana
- address
- Hg5Ja55T5wESq4vyFoiVCMeHXtGyVA69X2UHq8hgpump
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-09-13
- predictions
- 93
Track record at +1d
assessed
30
of 31 predictions shown
direction hit
50.0%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.2643
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0222
actual +0.0465
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | live | 0.00808 | 0.007969 | -1.37% | – | pending | – | – | 3.82 |
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.00772 | 0.00762 | -1.29% | 0.00808 | -0.25% | 0.0017 | ✓ | 3.81 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.00768 | 0.007563 | -1.52% | 0.00772 | +0.52% | 0.0317 | ✗ | 3.81 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.007125 | 0.007038 | -1.22% | 0.00768 | +7.79% | 0.0367 | ✗ | 3.79 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.00669 | 0.006624 | -0.98% | 0.007125 | +6.50% | 0.0807 | ✗ | 3.81 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.00824 | 0.008131 | -1.33% | 0.00669 | -18.81% | 0.2250 | ✓ | 3.92 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.009189 | 0.009049 | -1.53% | 0.00824 | -10.33% | 0.0879 | ✓ | 3.89 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.011797 | 0.011442 | -3.01% | 0.009189 | -22.11% | 0.1909 | ✓ | 3.72 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.008406 | 0.008296 | -1.31% | 0.011797 | +40.34% | 0.3275 | ✗ | 3.61 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.012632 | 0.012403 | -1.81% | 0.008406 | -33.45% | 0.3325 | ✓ | 3.03 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.012615 | 0.012407 | -1.65% | 0.012632 | +0.13% | 0.0015 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.016412 | 0.015886 | -3.20% | 0.012615 | -23.13% | 0.2071 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.012334 | 0.012074 | -2.11% | 0.016412 | +33.06% | 0.2977 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.012115 | 0.011862 | -2.09% | 0.012334 | +1.81% | 0.0346 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.014529 | 0.013896 | -4.36% | 0.012115 | -16.61% | 0.1475 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.008748 | 0.00857 | -2.03% | 0.014529 | +66.08% | 0.5470 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.009494 | 0.009214 | -2.95% | 0.008748 | -7.86% | 0.0251 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.008108 | 0.007933 | -2.17% | 0.009494 | +17.09% | 0.1822 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.01241 | 0.011717 | -5.58% | 0.008108 | -34.66% | 0.3594 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.003733 | 0.003635 | -2.60% | 0.01241 | +232.50% | 1.2072 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.0029 | 0.002851 | -1.70% | 0.003733 | +28.71% | 0.2667 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.004281 | 0.004118 | -3.80% | 0.0029 | -32.26% | 0.3466 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.00275 | 0.002707 | -1.57% | 0.004281 | +55.67% | 0.4430 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.004067 | 0.003945 | -3.02% | 0.00275 | -32.39% | 0.3598 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.003193 | 0.003107 | -2.69% | 0.004067 | +27.39% | 0.2671 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.002944 | 0.002831 | -3.85% | 0.003193 | +8.46% | 0.1324 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.001742 | 0.001721 | -1.20% | 0.002944 | +69.00% | 0.5362 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.002018 | 0.001959 | -2.89% | 0.001742 | -13.66% | 0.1214 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.001114 | 0.00111 | -0.32% | 0.002018 | +81.10% | 0.6005 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.001269 | 0.00126 | -0.73% | 0.001114 | -12.21% | 0.1231 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.001973 | 0.001947 | -1.30% | 0.001269 | -35.68% | 0.4069 | ✓ | 1.00 |