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AZTEC

Aztec · Ethereum · beta_5y

token id
#280
symbol
AZTEC
variant
–
chain
Ethereum
address
0xa27ec0006e59f245217ff08cd52a7e8b169e62d2
cohort
datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar
2026-02-12
predictions
732
+1d+7d+30d

Track record at +1d

assessed
243
of 244 predictions shown
direction hit
58.4%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.0315
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0046
actual -0.0035

History

as ofsplitanchor pxpred pxpred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90d
2026-10-22live0.0190050.018903-0.54%–pending––1.30
2026-10-21oos0.0190350.018928-0.56%0.019005+0.16%0.0042✓1.29
2026-10-20oos0.0183050.018223-0.45%0.019035+3.99%0.0474✗1.30
2026-10-19oos0.0189150.018811-0.55%0.018305-3.22%0.0449✓1.32
2026-10-18oos0.019240.019127-0.58%0.018915-1.69%0.0085✓1.31
2026-10-17oos0.0189050.018813-0.49%0.01924+1.77%0.0124✗1.31
2026-10-16oos0.0200450.01991-0.67%0.018905-5.69%0.0499✓1.29
2026-10-15oos0.019910.019787-0.62%0.020045+0.68%0.0228✗1.29
2026-10-14oos0.020090.019959-0.65%0.01991-0.90%0.0113✓1.29
2026-10-13oos0.020450.020253-0.97%0.02009-1.76%0.0164✗1.31
2026-10-12oos0.018590.018414-0.95%0.02045+10.01%0.0838✗1.28
2026-10-11oos0.0188450.018613-1.23%0.01859-1.35%0.0281✗1.25
2026-10-10oos0.017310.017114-1.13%0.018845+8.87%0.0847✗1.27
2026-10-09oos0.015020.014958-0.41%0.01731+15.25%0.1405✗1.26
2026-10-08oos0.014470.014423-0.32%0.01502+3.80%0.0276✗1.25
2026-10-07oos0.015450.015394-0.36%0.01447-6.34%0.0384✓1.22
2026-10-06oos0.0167350.016658-0.46%0.01545-7.68%0.0435✓1.18
2026-10-05oos0.0172650.017163-0.59%0.016735-3.07%0.0223✓1.19
2026-10-04oos0.017520.017386-0.77%0.017265-1.46%0.0036✓1.20
2026-10-03oos0.0170250.016926-0.58%0.01752+2.91%0.0098✗1.20
2026-10-02oos0.017010.016919-0.53%0.017025+0.09%0.0029✓1.20
2026-10-01oos0.0176450.017544-0.57%0.01701-3.60%0.0261✓1.19
2026-09-30oos0.0174150.017309-0.61%0.017645+1.32%0.0009✓1.19
2026-09-29oos0.0168450.01677-0.44%0.017415+3.38%0.0389✗1.23
2026-09-28oos0.019130.018904-1.18%0.016845-11.94%0.1180✓1.21
2026-09-27oos0.017980.017815-0.92%0.01913+6.40%0.0860✗1.23
2026-09-26oos0.0170550.016958-0.57%0.01798+5.42%0.0578✗1.23
2026-09-25oos0.016660.016551-0.66%0.017055+2.37%0.0253✗1.23
2026-09-24oos0.016380.016281-0.61%0.01666+1.71%0.0273✗1.24
2026-09-23oos0.015360.015296-0.42%0.01638+6.64%0.0684✗1.24
2026-09-22oos0.0163850.016293-0.56%0.01536-6.26%0.0328✓1.22
2026-09-21oos0.0163350.016237-0.60%0.016385+0.31%0.0147✗1.24
2026-09-20oos0.0165550.016446-0.66%0.016335-1.33%0.0981✓1.41
2026-09-19oos0.0171450.016952-1.13%0.016555-3.44%0.0224✓1.41
2026-09-18oos0.0156050.015408-1.26%0.017145+9.87%0.1006✗1.40
2026-09-17oos0.013410.013369-0.31%0.015605+16.37%0.0811✗1.28
2026-09-16oos0.012820.012808-0.09%0.01341+4.60%0.0425✗1.27
2026-09-15oos0.012650.012647-0.03%0.01282+1.34%0.0041✗1.29
2026-09-14oos0.0137550.013738-0.12%0.01265-8.03%0.0403✓1.25
2026-09-13oos0.013560.013569+0.07%0.013755+1.44%0.0086✗1.25
2026-09-12oos0.014320.014321+0.01%0.01356-5.31%0.0472✗1.23
2026-09-11oos0.0141550.014184+0.21%0.01432+1.17%0.0086✓1.26
2026-09-10oos0.013880.013938+0.42%0.014155+1.98%0.0044✓1.26
2026-09-09oos0.014760.014808+0.33%0.01388-5.96%0.0369✗1.23
2026-09-08oos0.014940.01499+0.33%0.01476-1.20%0.0128✗1.26
2026-09-07oos0.0144350.01452+0.59%0.01494+3.50%0.0389✓1.28
2026-09-06oos0.014890.014968+0.52%0.014435-3.06%0.0161✗1.29
2026-09-05oos0.014950.015003+0.35%0.01489-0.40%0.0157✗1.29
2026-09-04oos0.014990.01497-0.13%0.01495-0.27%0.0038✓1.26
2026-09-03oos0.013970.014038+0.49%0.01499+7.30%0.0919✓1.33
2026-09-02oos0.012690.012734+0.35%0.01397+10.09%0.0239✓1.38
2026-09-01oos0.012850.012888+0.29%0.01269-1.25%0.0138✗1.40
2026-08-31oos0.013330.013364+0.25%0.01285-3.60%0.0200✗1.28
2026-08-30oos0.013130.013148+0.14%0.01333+1.52%0.0003✓1.17
2026-08-29oos0.013420.013426+0.04%0.01313-2.16%0.0136✗1.19
2026-08-28oos0.013460.013457-0.02%0.01342-0.30%0.0087✓1.19
2026-08-27oos0.014180.01416-0.14%0.01346-5.08%0.0143✓1.18
2026-08-26oos0.014820.014753-0.45%0.01418-4.32%0.0585✓1.21
2026-08-25oos0.015230.015115-0.76%0.01482-2.69%0.0272✓1.19
2026-08-24oos0.014710.014596-0.78%0.01523+3.54%0.0497✗1.25
2026-08-23oos0.014020.01395-0.50%0.01471+4.92%0.0344✗1.17
2026-08-22oos0.013690.013617-0.53%0.01402+2.41%0.0189✗1.17
2026-08-21oos0.014550.014418-0.90%0.01369-5.91%0.0329✓1.16
2026-08-20oos0.0136350.013547-0.64%0.01455+6.71%0.0109✓1.17
2026-08-19oos0.013320.013222-0.74%0.013635+2.36%0.0348✓1.26
2026-08-18oos0.011970.011923-0.39%0.01332+11.28%0.0274✗1.21
2026-08-17oos0.011660.011628-0.28%0.01197+2.66%0.0252✗1.21
2026-08-16oos0.0115150.011483-0.28%0.01166+1.26%0.0163✓1.23
2026-08-15oos0.0116950.011664-0.26%0.011515-1.54%0.0093✓1.23
2026-08-14oos0.011670.011638-0.28%0.011695+0.21%0.0040✗1.23
2026-08-13oos0.011980.011938-0.35%0.01167-2.59%0.0140✓1.22
2026-08-12oos0.011990.011945-0.38%0.01198-0.08%0.0027✓1.28
2026-08-11oos0.01290.01286-0.31%0.01199-7.05%0.0675✓1.30
2026-08-10oos0.013120.013079-0.31%0.0129-1.68%0.0059✓1.31
2026-08-09oos0.013510.013465-0.33%0.01312-2.89%0.0068✓1.32
2026-08-08oos0.0139950.013942-0.38%0.01351-3.47%0.0302✓1.32
2026-08-07oos0.013970.013917-0.38%0.013995+0.18%0.0053✗1.33
2026-08-06oos0.0139050.013852-0.38%0.01397+0.47%0.0042✓1.31
2026-08-05oos0.014110.01404-0.50%0.013905-1.45%0.0028✓1.32
2026-08-04oos0.013770.013715-0.40%0.01411+2.47%0.0174✗1.27
2026-08-03oos0.0139150.013856-0.43%0.01377-1.04%0.0181✓1.30
2026-08-02oos0.01420.01412-0.56%0.013915-2.01%0.0140✓1.31
2026-08-01oos0.013870.013808-0.45%0.0142+2.38%0.0129✗1.29
2026-07-31oos0.0139250.013868-0.41%0.01387-0.39%0.0014✓1.29
2026-07-30oos0.014110.014058-0.37%0.013925-1.31%0.0297✗1.32
2026-07-29oos0.01460.014516-0.58%0.01411-3.36%0.0455✓1.34
2026-07-28oos0.0141850.014127-0.41%0.0146+2.93%0.0319✗1.33
2026-07-27oos0.014210.01414-0.49%0.014185-0.18%0.0000✓1.34
2026-07-26oos0.0146450.014555-0.62%0.01421-2.97%0.0103✗1.34
2026-07-25oos0.014240.014161-0.55%0.014645+2.84%0.0117✗1.36
2026-07-24oos0.0132450.013201-0.33%0.01424+7.51%0.0713✗1.34
2026-07-23oos0.0134950.013454-0.31%0.013245-1.85%0.0043✗1.33
2026-07-22oos0.014010.013962-0.34%0.013495-3.68%0.0134✓1.30
2026-07-21oos0.014160.014094-0.47%0.01401-1.06%0.0025✓1.30
2026-07-20oos0.014140.014049-0.65%0.01416+0.14%0.0174✓1.28
2026-07-19oos0.013780.013689-0.66%0.01414+2.61%0.0219✗1.28
2026-07-18oos0.0131650.013128-0.28%0.01378+4.67%0.0508✗1.29
2026-07-17oos0.013220.013186-0.26%0.013165-0.42%0.0200✓1.31
2026-07-16oos0.013530.013497-0.25%0.01322-2.29%0.0233✓1.32
2026-07-15oos0.014190.014148-0.29%0.01353-4.65%0.0256✓1.29
2026-07-14oos0.0140950.014054-0.29%0.01419+0.67%0.0151✗1.30
2026-07-13oos0.0138250.01378-0.33%0.014095+1.95%0.0359✓1.37
2026-07-12oos0.014770.014692-0.53%0.013825-6.40%0.0294✓1.34
2026-07-11oos0.013850.013809-0.29%0.01477+6.64%0.0679✗1.37
2026-07-10oos0.0138850.013844-0.29%0.01385-0.25%0.0082✗1.39
2026-07-09oos0.013690.01365-0.29%0.013885+1.42%0.0038✓1.39
2026-07-08oos0.013570.013535-0.26%0.01369+0.88%0.0100✓1.43
2026-07-07oos0.014130.014091-0.27%0.01357-3.96%0.0131✓1.42
2026-07-06oos0.014710.01466-0.34%0.01413-3.94%0.0218✓1.42
2026-07-05oos0.0144350.014389-0.32%0.01471+1.91%0.0126✗1.44
2026-07-04oos0.0145150.014464-0.35%0.014435-0.55%0.0133✓1.44
2026-07-03oos0.014520.01446-0.41%0.014515-0.03%0.0090✓1.42
2026-07-02oos0.0140850.014022-0.44%0.01452+3.09%0.0113✗1.41
2026-07-01oos0.0130.01296-0.31%0.014085+8.35%0.0488✗1.37
2026-06-30oos0.012840.012798-0.33%0.013+1.25%0.0184✓1.41
2026-06-29oos0.013020.012985-0.27%0.01284-1.38%0.0281✗1.43
2026-06-28oos0.012950.012918-0.25%0.01302+0.54%0.0089✓1.45
2026-06-27oos0.012960.012933-0.21%0.01295-0.08%0.0125✗1.45
2026-06-26oos0.013270.013241-0.22%0.01296-2.34%0.0198✓1.45
2026-06-25oos0.01330.013273-0.20%0.01327-0.23%0.0075✓1.46
2026-06-24oos0.0137850.013758-0.20%0.0133-3.52%0.0031✓1.45
2026-06-23oos0.0144650.014436-0.20%0.013785-4.70%0.0071✓1.45
2026-06-22oos0.0151650.015127-0.25%0.014465-4.62%0.0151✓1.43
2026-06-21oos0.014970.014935-0.23%0.015165+1.30%0.0008✓1.43
2026-06-20oos0.0153550.015315-0.26%0.01497-2.51%0.0013✓1.39
2026-06-19oos0.014980.014951-0.20%0.015355+2.50%0.0103✗1.40
2026-06-18oos0.0152050.015175-0.19%0.01498-1.48%0.0261✓1.39
2026-06-17oos0.016260.016217-0.26%0.015205-6.49%0.0307✓1.37
2026-06-16oos0.016670.01662-0.30%0.01626-2.46%0.0030✓1.38
2026-06-15oos0.016750.016697-0.31%0.01667-0.48%0.0122✗1.38
2026-06-14oos0.017890.017785-0.59%0.01675-6.37%0.0723✓1.43
2026-06-13oos0.016510.016441-0.42%0.01789+8.36%0.0560✗1.45
2026-06-12oos0.016210.016151-0.37%0.01651+1.85%0.0019✓1.44
2026-06-11oos0.015750.015695-0.35%0.01621+2.92%0.0328✗1.45
2026-06-10oos0.014770.014749-0.14%0.01575+6.64%0.0176✗1.42
2026-06-09oos0.015270.015245-0.16%0.01477-3.27%0.0261✓1.43
2026-06-08oos0.016010.015973-0.23%0.01527-4.62%0.0136✓1.42
2026-06-07oos0.016120.016083-0.23%0.01601-0.68%0.0008✓1.41
2026-06-06oos0.015730.01572-0.06%0.01612+2.48%0.0313✓1.43
2026-06-05oos0.016130.016124-0.04%0.01573-2.48%0.0205✓1.45
2026-06-04oos0.018430.01838-0.27%0.01613-12.48%0.0714✓1.33
2026-06-03oos0.022040.021884-0.71%0.01843-16.38%0.1670✓1.31
2026-06-02oos0.02130.021162-0.65%0.02204+3.47%0.0986✗1.45
2026-06-01oos0.021920.021806-0.52%0.0213-2.83%0.0886✗1.66
2026-05-31oos0.023420.023281-0.59%0.02192-6.40%0.0086✓1.65
2026-05-30oos0.023470.023331-0.59%0.02342-0.21%0.0079✗1.56
2026-05-29oos0.023140.022994-0.63%0.02347+1.43%0.0121✗1.53
2026-05-28oos0.02440.024163-0.97%0.02314-5.16%0.0403✓1.51
2026-05-27oos0.023210.023038-0.74%0.0244+5.13%0.0746✗1.58
2026-05-26oos0.026410.025893-1.96%0.02321-12.12%0.0783✓1.55
2026-05-25oos0.023530.02321-1.36%0.02641+12.24%0.1581✗1.56
2026-05-24oos0.02070.020605-0.46%0.02353+13.67%0.1272✗1.57
2026-05-23oos0.0209950.020892-0.49%0.0207-1.41%0.0161✓1.62
2026-05-22oos0.02110.020979-0.57%0.020995-0.50%0.0254✓1.65
2026-05-21oos0.022770.022469-1.32%0.0211-7.33%0.0181✓1.63
2026-05-20oos0.019940.019824-0.58%0.02277+14.19%0.1369✗1.80
2026-05-19oos0.0193550.019273-0.42%0.01994+3.02%0.0175✗1.80
2026-05-18oos0.0202350.020139-0.47%0.019355-4.35%0.0355✓1.83
2026-05-17oos0.020360.020274-0.42%0.020235-0.61%0.0094✗1.88
2026-05-16oos0.020710.020633-0.37%0.02036-1.69%0.0035✓1.88
2026-05-15oos0.02090.020836-0.31%0.02071-0.91%0.0169✗1.90
2026-05-14oos0.023290.023158-0.57%0.0209-10.26%0.0570✓1.80
2026-05-13oos0.022170.022036-0.60%0.02329+5.05%0.0112✗1.98
2026-05-12oos0.023370.023256-0.49%0.02217-5.13%0.0183✓1.97
2026-05-11oos0.0242850.024159-0.52%0.02337-3.77%0.0031✓1.97
2026-05-10oos0.024310.024178-0.54%0.024285-0.10%0.0158✗1.97
2026-05-09oos0.023530.023403-0.54%0.02431+3.31%0.0006✓1.97
2026-05-08oos0.025160.024879-1.12%0.02353-6.48%0.0672✓1.98
2026-05-07oos0.022890.022723-0.73%0.02516+9.92%0.0974✗1.98
2026-05-06oos0.021570.021421-0.69%0.02289+6.12%0.1023✗2.03
2026-05-05oos0.02050.020397-0.50%0.02157+5.22%0.0427✗2.02
2026-05-04oos0.019840.019754-0.43%0.0205+3.33%0.0106✗2.02
2026-05-03oos0.019720.019636-0.43%0.01984+0.61%0.0227✓2.03
2026-05-02oos0.020190.020094-0.48%0.01972-2.33%0.0156✓2.02
2026-05-01oos0.019880.019788-0.46%0.02019+1.56%0.0085✗2.02
2026-04-30oos0.019390.019309-0.42%0.01988+2.53%0.0216✓2.04
2026-04-29oos0.019450.019371-0.41%0.01939-0.31%0.0138✓2.04
2026-04-28oos0.0202850.020203-0.40%0.01945-4.12%0.0229✓2.03
2026-04-27oos0.0207050.020627-0.38%0.020285-2.03%0.0110✗2.04
2026-04-26oos0.022010.021906-0.47%0.020705-5.93%0.0224✓2.03
2026-04-25oos0.021870.021771-0.45%0.02201+0.64%0.0157✓2.03
2026-04-24oos0.023170.022984-0.80%0.02187-5.61%0.0546✓2.03
2026-04-23oos0.021990.021878-0.51%0.02317+5.37%0.0790✗2.06
2026-04-22oos0.022240.022108-0.59%0.02199-1.12%0.0073✓2.05
2026-04-21oos0.022590.022444-0.64%0.02224-1.55%0.0594✓2.09
2026-04-20oos0.021870.021745-0.57%0.02259+3.29%0.0249✗2.09
2026-04-19oos0.021120.021028-0.43%0.02187+3.55%0.0180✓2.10
2026-04-18oos0.022370.022226-0.64%0.02112-5.59%0.0027✓2.10
2026-04-17oos0.023240.023063-0.76%0.02237-3.74%0.0069✓2.10
2026-04-16oos0.0229650.022794-0.75%0.02324+1.20%0.0346✓2.12
2026-04-15oos0.022780.022582-0.87%0.022965+0.81%0.0076✓2.12
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2026-04-13oos0.0217150.021533-0.84%0.02139-1.50%0.0009✓2.11
2026-04-12oos0.0199850.019898-0.43%0.021715+8.66%0.0217✓2.15
2026-04-11oos0.0214550.021338-0.55%0.019985-6.85%0.0041✓2.15
2026-04-10oos0.021470.021293-0.83%0.021455-0.07%0.0050✓2.15
2026-04-09oos0.019890.01978-0.55%0.02147+7.94%0.0467✗2.13
2026-04-08oos0.0197450.01963-0.58%0.01989+0.73%0.0081✓2.13
2026-04-07oos0.020160.020011-0.74%0.019745-2.06%0.0112✗2.13
2026-04-06oos0.018590.018475-0.62%0.02016+8.45%0.0058✓2.14
2026-04-05oos0.018190.018113-0.43%0.01859+2.20%0.0307✗2.15
2026-04-04oos0.0182750.018195-0.44%0.01819-0.47%0.0554✓2.19
2026-04-03oos0.0186650.018578-0.47%0.018275-2.09%0.0273✓2.20
2026-04-02oos0.0185050.018424-0.44%0.018665+0.86%0.0108✗2.20
2026-04-01oos0.0197150.019603-0.57%0.018505-6.14%0.0182✓2.18
2026-03-31oos0.019560.019442-0.60%0.019715+0.79%0.0174✗2.18
2026-03-30oos0.018380.018292-0.48%0.01956+6.42%0.0192✗2.17
2026-03-29oos0.0181950.018117-0.43%0.01838+1.02%0.0112✓2.18
2026-03-28oos0.018460.018383-0.42%0.018195-1.44%0.0017✓2.18
2026-03-27oos0.0190150.018936-0.42%0.01846-2.92%0.0243✓2.18
2026-03-26oos0.0200150.019928-0.43%0.019015-5.00%0.0323✗2.21
2026-03-25oos0.021250.021147-0.48%0.020015-5.81%0.0262✗2.25
2026-03-24oos0.0214150.021297-0.55%0.02125-0.77%0.0266✓2.26
2026-03-23oos0.020850.020748-0.49%0.021415+2.71%0.0426✗2.27
2026-03-22oos0.0203250.020231-0.46%0.02085+2.58%0.0742✓2.39
2026-03-21oos0.021740.021597-0.66%0.020325-6.51%0.0237✓2.37
2026-03-20oos0.021810.021709-0.46%0.02174-0.32%0.0566✗2.43
2026-03-19oos0.021750.021666-0.39%0.02181+0.28%0.0134✓2.43
2026-03-18oos0.0229750.022888-0.38%0.02175-5.33%0.0054✓2.42
2026-03-17oos0.024210.024112-0.40%0.022975-5.10%0.0443✗2.50
2026-03-16oos0.026510.026263-0.93%0.02421-8.68%0.0500✓2.46
2026-03-15oos0.023810.023694-0.49%0.02651+11.34%0.0453✗2.41
2026-03-14oos0.0233850.023264-0.52%0.02381+1.82%0.0309✓2.44
2026-03-13oos0.022460.02235-0.49%0.023385+4.12%0.0412✗1.00
2026-03-12oos0.0236650.023499-0.70%0.02246-5.09%0.0510✓1.00
2026-03-11oos0.021820.021703-0.54%0.023665+8.46%0.0820✗1.00
2026-03-10oos0.0215050.021393-0.52%0.02182+1.46%0.0163✗1.00
2026-03-09oos0.021470.021349-0.56%0.021505+0.16%0.0148✓1.00
2026-03-08oos0.020610.020504-0.51%0.02147+4.17%0.0094✗1.00
2026-03-07oos0.021990.02185-0.64%0.02061-6.28%0.0391✓1.00
2026-03-06oos0.020450.020351-0.48%0.02199+7.53%0.0900✗1.00
2026-03-05oos0.021440.021344-0.45%0.02045-4.62%0.0028✓1.00
2026-03-04oos0.023550.023377-0.73%0.02144-8.96%0.0615✓1.00
2026-03-03oos0.020540.020441-0.48%0.02355+14.65%0.0799✗1.00
2026-03-02oos0.021420.021312-0.51%0.02054-4.11%0.0297✓1.00
2026-03-01oos0.021550.021432-0.55%0.02142-0.60%0.0461✓1.00
2026-02-28oos0.0210650.020973-0.44%0.02155+2.30%0.0452✗1.00
2026-02-27oos0.021020.020948-0.34%0.021065+0.21%0.0111✓1.00
2026-02-26oos0.0231750.02309-0.37%0.02102-9.30%0.0695✓1.00
2026-02-25oos0.026210.026058-0.58%0.023175-11.58%0.1099✓1.00
2026-02-24oos0.025050.024927-0.49%0.02621+4.63%0.0093✓1.00
2026-02-23oos0.0270850.026942-0.53%0.02505-7.51%0.0641✓1.00
2026-02-22oos0.030720.030476-0.79%0.027085-11.83%0.0727✓1.00
2026-02-21oos0.034560.033957-1.75%0.03072-11.11%0.0952✓1.00