ANSEM
The Black Bull · Solana · beta_5y
- token id
- #349
- symbol
- ANSEM
- variant
- –
- chain
- Solana
- address
- 9cRCn9rGT8V2imeM2BaKs13yhMEais3ruM3rPvTGpump
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-07-10
- predictions
- 288
Track record at +1d
assessed
95
of 96 predictions shown
direction hit
52.6%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.0711
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0061
actual -0.0088
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | live | 0.0956 | 0.095253 | -0.36% | – | pending | – | – | 2.03 |
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.0953 | 0.095011 | -0.30% | 0.0956 | +0.37% | 0.0019 | ✓ | 2.08 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.0968 | 0.096495 | -0.31% | 0.0953 | -1.55% | 0.0064 | ✓ | 2.07 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.1039 | 0.103499 | -0.39% | 0.0968 | -6.83% | 0.0954 | ✓ | 2.13 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.10355 | 0.10323 | -0.31% | 0.1039 | +0.34% | 0.0109 | ✗ | 2.13 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.1153 | 0.114706 | -0.52% | 0.10355 | -10.19% | 0.1189 | ✓ | 2.17 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.11875 | 0.118069 | -0.57% | 0.1153 | -2.91% | 0.0206 | ✓ | 2.17 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.1155 | 0.114949 | -0.48% | 0.11875 | +2.81% | 0.0492 | ✗ | 2.18 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.1133 | 0.112877 | -0.37% | 0.1155 | +1.94% | 0.0081 | ✗ | 2.18 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.133 | 0.132027 | -0.73% | 0.1133 | -14.81% | 0.1130 | ✓ | 2.15 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.1313 | 0.130398 | -0.69% | 0.133 | +1.29% | 0.0163 | ✓ | 2.18 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.1415 | 0.140148 | -0.96% | 0.1313 | -7.21% | 0.0226 | ✓ | 1.82 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.13075 | 0.129725 | -0.78% | 0.1415 | +8.22% | 0.0712 | ✗ | 1.70 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.1311 | 0.130191 | -0.69% | 0.13075 | -0.27% | 0.0031 | ✓ | 1.68 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.14125 | 0.139989 | -0.89% | 0.1311 | -7.19% | 0.0834 | ✓ | 1.72 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.1423 | 0.141111 | -0.84% | 0.14125 | -0.74% | 0.0343 | ✗ | 1.74 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.14995 | 0.148653 | -0.86% | 0.1423 | -5.10% | 0.0031 | ✓ | 1.74 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.15935 | 0.157572 | -1.12% | 0.14995 | -5.90% | 0.0453 | ✓ | 1.73 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.16855 | 0.165669 | -1.71% | 0.15935 | -5.46% | 0.0237 | ✓ | 1.72 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.1395 | 0.137965 | -1.10% | 0.16855 | +20.82% | 0.1664 | ✗ | 1.64 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.1318 | 0.130661 | -0.86% | 0.1395 | +5.84% | 0.0608 | ✗ | 1.64 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.14105 | 0.139755 | -0.92% | 0.1318 | -6.56% | 0.0520 | ✓ | 1.63 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.1393 | 0.138224 | -0.77% | 0.14105 | +1.26% | 0.0048 | ✓ | 1.63 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.13785 | 0.136936 | -0.66% | 0.1393 | +1.05% | 0.0187 | ✗ | 1.64 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.15265 | 0.151241 | -0.92% | 0.13785 | -9.70% | 0.0963 | ✓ | 1.63 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.1665 | 0.164481 | -1.21% | 0.15265 | -8.32% | 0.0554 | ✓ | 1.61 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.17555 | 0.173168 | -1.36% | 0.1665 | -5.16% | 0.0401 | ✓ | 1.60 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.1859 | 0.182353 | -1.91% | 0.17555 | -5.57% | 0.0442 | ✓ | 1.60 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.1521 | 0.150517 | -1.04% | 0.1859 | +22.22% | 0.2169 | ✗ | 1.65 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.1576 | 0.155862 | -1.10% | 0.1521 | -3.49% | 0.0246 | ✓ | 1.65 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.1717 | 0.169185 | -1.47% | 0.1576 | -8.21% | 0.0364 | ✓ | 1.62 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.16135 | 0.159262 | -1.29% | 0.1717 | +6.41% | 0.0827 | ✗ | 1.64 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.1594 | 0.157822 | -0.99% | 0.16135 | +1.22% | 0.0950 | ✓ | 1.81 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.15125 | 0.150253 | -0.66% | 0.1594 | +5.39% | 0.0607 | ✗ | 1.82 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.1606 | 0.158998 | -1.00% | 0.15125 | -5.82% | 0.0580 | ✓ | 1.82 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.141 | 0.14069 | -0.22% | 0.1606 | +13.90% | 0.0319 | ✗ | 1.74 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.1282 | 0.128445 | +0.19% | 0.141 | +9.98% | 0.0886 | ✓ | 1.74 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.1283 | 0.128698 | +0.31% | 0.1282 | -0.08% | 0.0168 | ✗ | 1.74 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.1444 | 0.144833 | +0.30% | 0.1283 | -11.15% | 0.0647 | ✗ | 1.68 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.13395 | 0.134857 | +0.68% | 0.1444 | +7.80% | 0.0392 | ✓ | 1.64 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.16035 | 0.160873 | +0.33% | 0.13395 | -16.46% | 0.1736 | ✗ | 1.59 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.1368 | 0.138241 | +1.05% | 0.16035 | +17.21% | 0.1472 | ✓ | 1.60 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.1546 | 0.155991 | +0.90% | 0.1368 | -11.51% | 0.1455 | ✗ | 1.63 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.1766 | 0.177733 | +0.64% | 0.1546 | -12.46% | 0.1047 | ✗ | 1.54 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.1818 | 0.18312 | +0.73% | 0.1766 | -2.86% | 0.0330 | ✗ | 1.54 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.19345 | 0.194766 | +0.68% | 0.1818 | -6.02% | 0.0565 | ✗ | 1.52 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.23325 | 0.233715 | +0.20% | 0.19345 | -17.06% | 0.1673 | ✗ | 1.39 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.2439 | 0.244024 | +0.05% | 0.23325 | -4.37% | 0.0540 | ✗ | 1.40 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.223 | 0.223807 | +0.36% | 0.2439 | +9.37% | 0.0832 | ✓ | 1.40 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.2734 | 0.272712 | -0.25% | 0.223 | -18.43% | 0.1770 | ✓ | 1.23 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.2496 | 0.249366 | -0.09% | 0.2734 | +9.54% | 0.0342 | ✗ | 1.16 |
| 2026-09-01 | oos | 0.2635 | 0.262948 | -0.21% | 0.2496 | -5.28% | 0.0507 | ✓ | 1.15 |
| 2026-08-31 | oos | 0.2955 | 0.294435 | -0.36% | 0.2635 | -10.83% | 0.0952 | ✓ | 1.06 |
| 2026-08-30 | oos | 0.3079 | 0.306667 | -0.40% | 0.2955 | -4.03% | 0.0495 | ✓ | 1.08 |
| 2026-08-29 | oos | 0.3596 | 0.35741 | -0.61% | 0.3079 | -14.38% | 0.1418 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-28 | oos | 0.3437 | 0.341681 | -0.59% | 0.3596 | +4.63% | 0.0461 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-27 | oos | 0.3532 | 0.350638 | -0.73% | 0.3437 | -2.69% | 0.0108 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-26 | oos | 0.3208 | 0.318021 | -0.87% | 0.3532 | +10.10% | 0.0900 | ✗ | 0.95 |
| 2026-08-25 | oos | 0.2585 | 0.257247 | -0.48% | 0.3208 | +24.10% | 0.2149 | ✗ | 0.93 |
| 2026-08-24 | oos | 0.25 | 0.249 | -0.40% | 0.2585 | +3.40% | 0.0430 | ✗ | 0.95 |
| 2026-08-23 | oos | 0.2566 | 0.255482 | -0.44% | 0.25 | -2.57% | 0.0373 | ✓ | 0.98 |
| 2026-08-22 | oos | 0.27555 | 0.273917 | -0.59% | 0.2566 | -6.88% | 0.0740 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-21 | oos | 0.2865 | 0.283912 | -0.90% | 0.27555 | -3.82% | 0.0140 | ✓ | 0.97 |
| 2026-08-20 | oos | 0.2392 | 0.237779 | -0.59% | 0.2865 | +19.77% | 0.1551 | ✗ | 0.45 |
| 2026-08-19 | oos | 0.229 | 0.227699 | -0.57% | 0.2392 | +4.45% | 0.0307 | ✗ | 0.36 |
| 2026-08-18 | oos | 0.2362 | 0.234586 | -0.68% | 0.229 | -3.05% | 0.0847 | ✓ | 0.88 |
| 2026-08-17 | oos | 0.2763 | 0.272313 | -1.44% | 0.2362 | -14.51% | 0.1453 | ✓ | 0.95 |
| 2026-08-16 | oos | 0.2249 | 0.22325 | -0.73% | 0.2763 | +22.85% | 0.2072 | ✗ | 0.23 |
| 2026-08-15 | oos | 0.2502 | 0.246865 | -1.33% | 0.2249 | -10.11% | 0.0926 | ✓ | 0.19 |
| 2026-08-14 | oos | 0.2182 | 0.215879 | -1.06% | 0.2502 | +14.67% | 0.1474 | ✗ | 0.17 |
| 2026-08-13 | oos | 0.1914 | 0.190127 | -0.67% | 0.2182 | +14.00% | 0.1399 | ✗ | 0.31 |
| 2026-08-12 | oos | 0.1943 | 0.1929 | -0.72% | 0.1914 | -1.49% | 0.0079 | ✓ | 0.31 |
| 2026-08-11 | oos | 0.1979 | 0.196251 | -0.83% | 0.1943 | -1.82% | 0.0094 | ✓ | 0.31 |
| 2026-08-10 | oos | 0.1958 | 0.193879 | -0.98% | 0.1979 | +1.07% | 0.0224 | ✗ | 0.32 |
| 2026-08-09 | oos | 0.1712 | 0.170185 | -0.59% | 0.1958 | +14.37% | 0.1499 | ✗ | 0.67 |
| 2026-08-08 | oos | 0.1792 | 0.177977 | -0.68% | 0.1712 | -4.46% | 0.0379 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-07 | oos | 0.1787 | 0.177458 | -0.70% | 0.1792 | +0.28% | 0.0095 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-06 | oos | 0.1838 | 0.182213 | -0.86% | 0.1787 | -2.77% | 0.0291 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-05 | oos | 0.1689 | 0.167762 | -0.67% | 0.1838 | +8.82% | 0.0965 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-04 | oos | 0.1715 | 0.17032 | -0.69% | 0.1689 | -1.52% | 0.0170 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-03 | oos | 0.18365 | 0.182298 | -0.74% | 0.1715 | -6.62% | 0.0702 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-02 | oos | 0.2027 | 0.200709 | -0.98% | 0.18365 | -9.40% | 0.0883 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-01 | oos | 0.19105 | 0.189147 | -1.00% | 0.2027 | +6.10% | 0.0576 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-31 | oos | 0.1767 | 0.175356 | -0.76% | 0.19105 | +8.12% | 0.0867 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-30 | oos | 0.1894 | 0.187388 | -1.06% | 0.1767 | -6.71% | 0.0290 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-29 | oos | 0.1711 | 0.169635 | -0.86% | 0.1894 | +10.70% | 0.0974 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-28 | oos | 0.1662 | 0.164852 | -0.81% | 0.1711 | +2.95% | 0.0364 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-27 | oos | 0.158 | 0.157146 | -0.54% | 0.1662 | +5.19% | 0.0536 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-26 | oos | 0.187 | 0.185269 | -0.93% | 0.158 | -15.51% | 0.1337 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-25 | oos | 0.1792 | 0.177617 | -0.88% | 0.187 | +4.35% | 0.0353 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-24 | oos | 0.1538 | 0.153182 | -0.40% | 0.1792 | +16.51% | 0.1536 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-23 | oos | 0.1728 | 0.17183 | -0.56% | 0.1538 | -11.00% | 0.0959 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-22 | oos | 0.1797 | 0.178696 | -0.56% | 0.1728 | -3.84% | 0.0178 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-21 | oos | 0.2091 | 0.207013 | -1.00% | 0.1797 | -14.06% | 0.1350 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-20 | oos | 0.2043 | 0.201546 | -1.35% | 0.2091 | +2.35% | 0.0170 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-19 | oos | 0.1784 | 0.177038 | -0.76% | 0.2043 | +14.52% | 0.1350 | ✗ | 1.00 |