AEON
AEON · Binance Smart Chain · beta_5y
- token id
- #345
- symbol
- AEON
- variant
- –
- chain
- Binance Smart Chain
- address
- 0x277add739c6e0477616948357af9e79fe1ec9b80
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-07-27
- predictions
- 237
Track record at +1d
assessed
78
of 79 predictions shown
direction hit
56.4%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.0636
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0046
actual -0.0083
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | live | 0.037 | 0.036836 | -0.44% | – | pending | – | – | 0.31 |
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.03874 | 0.038565 | -0.45% | 0.037 | +0.65% | 0.0103 | ✗ | 0.31 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.038125 | 0.03797 | -0.41% | 0.03874 | +1.61% | 0.0210 | ✗ | 0.32 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.03724 | 0.037114 | -0.34% | 0.038125 | +2.38% | 0.0227 | ✗ | 0.31 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.036775 | 0.036672 | -0.28% | 0.03724 | +1.26% | 0.0160 | ✗ | 0.31 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.03876 | 0.038627 | -0.34% | 0.036775 | -5.12% | 0.0516 | ✓ | 0.32 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.03639 | 0.036346 | -0.12% | 0.03876 | +6.51% | 0.0648 | ✗ | 0.33 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.04028 | 0.040192 | -0.22% | 0.03639 | -9.66% | 0.0971 | ✓ | 0.30 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.0438 | 0.043682 | -0.27% | 0.04028 | -8.04% | 0.0832 | ✓ | 0.31 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.048775 | 0.048609 | -0.34% | 0.0438 | -10.20% | 0.0995 | ✓ | 0.25 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.04964 | 0.049497 | -0.29% | 0.048775 | -1.74% | 0.0189 | ✓ | 0.25 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.054755 | 0.054583 | -0.31% | 0.04964 | -9.34% | 0.0906 | ✓ | 0.18 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.058435 | 0.058224 | -0.36% | 0.054755 | -6.30% | 0.0632 | ✓ | 0.19 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.06656 | 0.066154 | -0.61% | 0.058435 | -12.21% | 0.1249 | ✓ | 0.20 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.06229 | 0.062 | -0.47% | 0.06656 | +6.86% | 0.0691 | ✗ | 0.18 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.067975 | 0.0675 | -0.70% | 0.06229 | -8.36% | 0.0779 | ✓ | 0.13 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.06723 | 0.066671 | -0.83% | 0.067975 | +1.11% | 0.0233 | ✗ | 0.15 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.06323 | 0.062682 | -0.87% | 0.06723 | +6.33% | 0.0704 | ✗ | 0.16 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.054515 | 0.054227 | -0.53% | 0.06323 | +15.99% | 0.1556 | ✗ | 0.23 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.05105 | 0.050855 | -0.38% | 0.054515 | +6.79% | 0.0656 | ✗ | 0.19 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.05145 | 0.051232 | -0.42% | 0.05105 | -0.78% | 0.0041 | ✓ | 0.19 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.051035 | 0.050855 | -0.35% | 0.05145 | +0.81% | 0.0124 | ✗ | 0.20 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.05493 | 0.054666 | -0.48% | 0.051035 | -7.09% | 0.0721 | ✓ | 0.22 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.053805 | 0.053555 | -0.46% | 0.05493 | +2.09% | 0.0256 | ✗ | 0.23 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.05314 | 0.05289 | -0.47% | 0.053805 | +1.25% | 0.0167 | ✗ | 0.23 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.05507 | 0.054812 | -0.47% | 0.05314 | -3.50% | 0.0284 | ✓ | 0.22 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.057125 | 0.056845 | -0.49% | 0.05507 | -3.60% | 0.0318 | ✓ | 0.21 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.058275 | 0.057974 | -0.52% | 0.057125 | -1.97% | 0.0156 | ✓ | 0.21 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.05772 | 0.057436 | -0.49% | 0.058275 | +0.96% | 0.0153 | ✗ | 0.22 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.05952 | 0.059183 | -0.57% | 0.05772 | -3.02% | 0.0250 | ✓ | 0.21 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.06501 | 0.064423 | -0.90% | 0.05952 | -8.44% | 0.0761 | ✓ | 0.15 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.054875 | 0.054587 | -0.52% | 0.06501 | +18.47% | 0.1757 | ✗ | 0.21 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.05323 | 0.052961 | -0.51% | 0.054875 | +3.09% | 0.0265 | ✗ | 0.14 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.05497 | 0.05465 | -0.58% | 0.05323 | -3.17% | 0.0262 | ✓ | 0.13 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.058485 | 0.057976 | -0.87% | 0.05497 | -6.01% | 0.0538 | ✓ | 0.13 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.05392 | 0.053536 | -0.71% | 0.058485 | +8.47% | 0.0926 | ✗ | -0.07 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.04804 | 0.047825 | -0.45% | 0.05392 | +12.24% | 0.1201 | ✗ | -0.07 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.04968 | 0.049443 | -0.48% | 0.04804 | -3.30% | 0.0283 | ✓ | -0.06 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.05118 | 0.050884 | -0.58% | 0.04968 | -2.93% | 0.0273 | ✓ | -0.10 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.04843 | 0.048231 | -0.41% | 0.05118 | +5.68% | 0.0619 | ✗ | -0.15 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.048715 | 0.04853 | -0.38% | 0.04843 | -0.59% | 0.0029 | ✓ | -0.14 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.049335 | 0.049155 | -0.37% | 0.048715 | -1.26% | 0.0089 | ✓ | -0.14 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.046305 | 0.046233 | -0.16% | 0.049335 | +6.54% | 0.0663 | ✗ | -0.16 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.0501 | 0.049998 | -0.20% | 0.046305 | -7.57% | 0.0825 | ✓ | -0.25 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.05692 | 0.056639 | -0.49% | 0.0501 | -11.98% | 0.1233 | ✓ | -0.29 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.052055 | 0.051923 | -0.25% | 0.05692 | +9.35% | 0.0900 | ✗ | -0.23 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.05333 | 0.053254 | -0.14% | 0.052055 | -2.39% | 0.0266 | ✓ | -0.24 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.05466 | 0.054599 | -0.11% | 0.05333 | -2.43% | 0.0220 | ✓ | -0.24 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.05531 | 0.055264 | -0.08% | 0.05466 | -1.18% | 0.0105 | ✓ | -0.24 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.054365 | 0.054401 | +0.07% | 0.05531 | +1.74% | 0.0125 | ✓ | -0.20 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.05349 | 0.053506 | +0.03% | 0.054365 | +1.64% | 0.0317 | ✓ | -0.32 |
| 2026-09-01 | oos | 0.05728 | 0.057285 | +0.01% | 0.05349 | -6.62% | 0.0689 | ✗ | -0.34 |
| 2026-08-31 | oos | 0.06265 | 0.062628 | -0.04% | 0.05728 | -8.57% | 0.0959 | ✓ | -0.45 |
| 2026-08-30 | oos | 0.05752 | 0.057516 | -0.01% | 0.06265 | +8.92% | 0.0911 | ✗ | -0.48 |
| 2026-08-29 | oos | 0.06812 | 0.06801 | -0.16% | 0.05752 | -15.56% | 0.1721 | ✓ | -0.62 |
| 2026-08-28 | oos | 0.0696 | 0.069325 | -0.40% | 0.06812 | -2.13% | 0.0144 | ✓ | -0.62 |
| 2026-08-27 | oos | 0.06064 | 0.060537 | -0.17% | 0.0696 | +14.78% | 0.1308 | ✗ | -0.28 |
| 2026-08-26 | oos | 0.05871 | 0.058561 | -0.25% | 0.06064 | +3.29% | 0.0398 | ✗ | -0.31 |
| 2026-08-25 | oos | 0.05588 | 0.055712 | -0.30% | 0.05871 | +5.06% | 0.0461 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-24 | oos | 0.05864 | 0.05845 | -0.32% | 0.05588 | -4.71% | 0.0392 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-23 | oos | 0.05969 | 0.059454 | -0.39% | 0.05864 | -1.76% | 0.0298 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-22 | oos | 0.06661 | 0.06632 | -0.44% | 0.05969 | -10.39% | 0.1140 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-21 | oos | 0.06945 | 0.069155 | -0.42% | 0.06661 | -4.09% | 0.0211 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-20 | oos | 0.07285 | 0.072426 | -0.58% | 0.06945 | -4.67% | 0.1122 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-19 | oos | 0.08236 | 0.081673 | -0.83% | 0.07285 | -11.55% | 0.1665 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-18 | oos | 0.08632 | 0.085408 | -1.06% | 0.08236 | -4.59% | 0.1053 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-17 | oos | 0.08219 | 0.081332 | -1.04% | 0.08632 | +5.02% | 0.0564 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-16 | oos | 0.0757 | 0.075027 | -0.89% | 0.08219 | +8.57% | 0.0654 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-15 | oos | 0.07896 | 0.077916 | -1.32% | 0.0757 | -4.13% | 0.0260 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-14 | oos | 0.06513 | 0.0646 | -0.81% | 0.07896 | +21.23% | 0.2000 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-13 | oos | 0.06773 | 0.066961 | -1.13% | 0.06513 | -3.84% | 0.0206 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-12 | oos | 0.05488 | 0.05454 | -0.62% | 0.06773 | +23.41% | 0.2164 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-11 | oos | 0.05403 | 0.053756 | -0.51% | 0.05488 | +1.57% | 0.0226 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-10 | oos | 0.05374 | 0.053514 | -0.42% | 0.05403 | +0.54% | 0.0156 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-09 | oos | 0.05444 | 0.054206 | -0.43% | 0.05374 | -1.29% | 0.0059 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-08 | oos | 0.06309 | 0.062494 | -0.94% | 0.05444 | -13.71% | 0.1370 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-07 | oos | 0.05274 | 0.052549 | -0.36% | 0.06309 | +19.62% | 0.1825 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-06 | oos | 0.05843 | 0.058119 | -0.53% | 0.05274 | -9.74% | 0.1068 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-05 | oos | 0.06048 | 0.060092 | -0.64% | 0.05843 | -3.39% | 0.0228 | ✓ | 1.00 |